CNN is reporting that Obama “has his work cut out for him” if he wants to get reelected in 2012 and a poll of Ohio and Pennsylvania is the evidence.
There has been a lot of speculation on how bad things are looking for The Obammessiah these days. Even Democrats are afraid that it is looking bad for Obama winning a second term.
Not long ago, for instance, The Hill reported that it was too late for Obama to turn the economy around by election time. Even the far left-wing blog Firedoglake worried that the recent whipeout of Dems in special elections was a “bad sign” for Obama.
The Quinnipiac poll that CNN cites shows that the GOP frontrunners are practically even up with Obama in head-to-head matchups.
In hypothetical general election matchups against the top two Republican presidential candidates, the poll indicates things are pretty much all tied up, with Obama holding a 44 to 41 percent margin over Texas Gov. Rick Perry and holding a 44 to 42 percent margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Both margins are within the poll’s sampling error.
Ohio has been mostly Republican for several election cycles and in the last midterms the GOP came back strong. But Pennsylvania is another matter.
A new Quinnipiac poll in the Keystone state indicates that by a 54 to 43 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters disapprove of the job Obama’s doing in the White House, and by a 51 to 44 percent margin, they don’t think he deserves a second term in office.
Now, I must make a warning, here. It is very, very far out from 2012 at this point. These polls may not hold to being accurate all the way until election day on 2012. A whole lot can happen between then and now.
These reports do tend to show that Obama’s campaign is in trouble right now. What that means by November of 2012 is another question, but it does show that as things stand today, the GOP has the edge and it might be theirs to lose.