huckabee

Although few of the Republican aspirants for the 2012 presidential nomination have set up their exploratory committees, and fewer yet have officially declared their entrance into the contest to face Barack Obama, polling has been going on now for a few months. We’ll be updating the polls regularly here for the nomination. We’ll also post them for each of the more likely candidates on their own discussion posts. We’ve already done this for Mitt Romney.

The polls that we are using are derived from the Real Clear Politics listing of polls.




Presidential Polls, Republican Primary Election Match-Ups
Polling Date Polling Company Huckabee Romney Trump Palin Gingrich Ron Paul Bachmann Pawlenty Daniels Santorum
4/20/2011 Gallup> 16% 13% 16% 10% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2%
4/10/11 McClatchy 17% 18% 13% 8% 4% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2%

4/9/11 CNN 19% 11% 19% 12% 11% 7% 5% 2% 3% 2%

4/3/11 Fox News 15% 14% 11% 12% 7% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2%

4/7/11 PPP 17% 15% 26% 8% 11% 5% 4% 4% - -

3/31/11 NBC/WSJ 17% 21% 17% 10% 11% - 5% 6% - 3%

3/18/11 Gallup 19% 15% - 12% 10% 6% 5% 3% 4% 2%

3/8/11 Pew 20% 21% - 13% 11% 8% - 3% 2% 2%




For now, I’m discounting the PPP results as a partisan outlier. But still, Trump’s climb to polling respectability has been nothing short of remarkable. He has gone from a political non-entity/curiosity to among the front-runners, currently consisting of himself, Huckabee, and Romney. Among those who have fallen in response, Newt is perhaps the most notable. He has lost about half of his support, and it seems as if most of them have gone to the Donald. I don’t think that this bodes well for the GOP. Newt has a constant need for attention, and if the only way to get it is to become outrageous, he shows no reticence in playing that card. Most of the other candidates have remained mired in single digits for the last two months.

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