Here are the latest Senate polls in the three way race between Republican candidate Joe Miller, Lisa Murkowski who recently transformed into an independent candidate, and Democrat contender Scott McAdams. The Murkowski write-in campaign has worried Republican pundits but so far Joe Miller is holding up extremely well in three way polls in the Alaska senate race.

Alaska Senate polls Joe Miller





Alaska Senate Race Polls: Miller Murkowski McAdams 2010




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Election Desk Discussion (Alaska Winner Projection, Latest News, Exit polls, etc.)




Right Pundits is calling the state “leans Republican” based on the prevailing anti-incumbent and anti-Democrat winds in the country, and the state of affairs in the state of Alaska. That prognosis may change if Murkowski’s write-in candidacy gains steam but there is little evidence that it will.

What is clear is that she has no chance of winning. Write-in campaigns never do. Worst case for the GOP is she will siphon just enough votes from Joe Miller that Scott McAdams will limp across the finish line in the general election.

But we do not expect that to happen as the latest polls confirm. More on those below with blog reactions found here and here and here.

The history of the Alaska race is that Tea Party candidate Joe Miller stormed out of nowhere, benefiting from a decisive Sarah Palin endorsement and anti-incumbent mood. GOP incumbent Lisa Murkowski was caught asleep at the wheel, leaving gobs of campaign cash unspent. On election day she was clearly bitter and surprised by the results.

The voters spoke but rather than move on she is staging a hopeless write-in campaign which has no chance of keeping her in power and it is ruining any chance of a political comeback in future years when the voters will once again value experience in office. She will live to regret her actions this year.

But standing to benefit is Scott McAdams who was once considered the sacrificial lamb from the Democrats.

Now on to the AK polls themselves which will be updated frequently.




Senate Polls, Alaska Senate Race, General Election

Polling Date Polling Company Joe Miller (R) Lisa Murkowski (I-R) Scott McAdams (D)
10/31/2010 PPP 37% 30% 30%

10/28/2010 Dittman Research 27% 37% 23%

10/19/2010 CNN 37% 37% 23%

10/13/2010 Rasmussen 35% 34% 27%

10/10/2010 PPP 35% 33% 26%

9/28/2010 CNN 38% 36% 22%

9/19/2010 Rasmussen 42% 27% 25%




That is it for the latest polls in the Alaska senate race. Feel free to comment on the election. Will it be Miller or McAdams, and what sort of spoiler role will be played by Murkowski?