Kentucky Derby 133 has a well-matched field today; in fact, the lineup of horses today is probably one of the best in the history of the derby. Of course at this level of racing, every horse at the track has a shot at the winners circle. But here are six horses that I view as super serious contenders.

Race: 10
Post time: 6:04 EST
Track condition: Good
Turf: Good

CURLIN (2) has never raced as a two year old, but he has more than made up for that little blurb of negativity in three consecutive big time races this year. Two of those races were at Oaklawn Park in bueatiful Hot Springs, AR (which happens to be a place I spend a lot of time, and money). Curlin dominated the Arkansas Derby, winning by more than 10 links, and also outclassed the field in the Rebel Stakes, where he outpaced three separate challenges for the lead by three separate ponies. Most of the experts agree that Curlin is mature way beyond his lack of experience and has as much raw talent as any three year old in the country with an explosive turn of foot. Coming out of the number 2 gate today, he should be able to stay out of traffic, and by the time the horses round the second turn I think he will have his nose in the breeze, and win this race with a link or two to spare.

STREET SENSE (7) could become the first Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner to win the Kentucky Derby. His win at Churchill Downs on Breeders’ Cup day was a more than impressive performance and you there is no question about the quality of horses he defeated, especially when you consider the fact that four of them are top picks again today.

Louisiana Derby winner CIRCULAR QUAY (16) comes into this race after an eight-week layoff, but has the desire to run and the pedigree of a winner. Look for him to start picking em’ up and laying em’ down late in the run.

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ (12) can run like the wind, when he wants to. Maybe today he can manage to focus on the finish line, and if he does, a top three finish is probable.

Both DOMINICAN (19) and GREAT HUNTER (20) are more than capable of being spoilers in today’s race.

So, these are Joe’s picks for the 133rd “Run for the Roses�?.




I’m going to lay down a sizable chunk-O-cash on Curlin to take all of the marbles today, and just to keep it interesting, I’m betting a fairly heavy 2-7 exacta box, with a 2-19 backup.