Today, 12 states will be holding primary and run-off elections. While there is still too much time before November to predict what the impact will be of the 2010 Elections, two trends have become more clear. Incumbents and RINOs (Republicans In Name Only) have not faired well. The only incumbent facing a real challenge to is Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) for her U.S. Senate seat. She is being challenged by Lt. Governor Bill Halter, who is getting massive financial support from the Far-Left groups, like MoveOn.org and by labor unions.

For GOP candidates, moderates have not done well so far this year. The Tea Party and conservative groups have organized effectively against the RINO candidates. But today’s primaries may paint a different picture. In California, for example, Meg Whitman is leading Steve Poizner. He has tried to depict her as too liberal, especially on illegal immigration issues, but Whitman has made an effort to counter this by her fiscal policies.

Likewise, in the California U.S. Senate challenge to face Barbara Boxer in November, both Tom Campbell, supported by Sarah Palin, and Chuck DeVore, a favorite of the Tea Party, seem less likely to beat former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. So California may break the trend and select moderate Republicans for November, which, in the big picture, may be just as well, since the state has about 2 million more Democrat voters anyway.

In Nevada, all three GOP senate candidates have reasonable conservative credentials. With the general animosity the public there now has against Harry Reid, anyone of them should be able to defeat him. Some congressional races also appear to be bucking the Tea Party trend. For example, in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District, RINO Robert Hurt appears to be leading Ken Boyd and Michael McPaddin in the polls. So too in Virginia’s 2nd District where GOP insider Scott Rigell has the edge on Bert Mizusawa and Ben Loyola.

This, of course, brings us to the heart of the problem come November. Is it enough just to replace Democrats with Republicans? The 2010 Elections hold the promise of bringing about a major shift back towards the fiscal conservatism and pro-constructionist Constitution views we had in the 1994 mid-terms. Reducing the size and power of government, slashing spending and restructuring our tax and regulatory systems rationally to encourage genuine reform and economic stimulation. Today’s elections may be a bump in the road to achieving those goals.