Governor Charlie Crist once held an almost insurmountable lead in the Florida Senate race; then he found himself in almost the exact opposite position, trailing Marco Rubio in the Florida Senate polls by nearly 20 points in the GOP primary. Then Charlie threw in the towel by going Independent and things have changed. The Democrat Senate primary on August 24th has set the table for an exciting three-way race with Kendrick Meek badly trailing but pulling support away from Crist. Marco Rubio is now the favorite to win Florida.

Florida Senate race polls



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Until Meek, an African American with a solid base of support, won the Florida primary it appeared that Crist was picking up Democrat support. Current Florida Senate polls have the race a virtual tie. Democrats would most likely back Crist if that means they could defeat Tea Party favorite Rubio.

Charlie Crist for all intents and purposes has been a popular Governor in Florida. But with a rising surge in conservatism and grass roots party activism (Tea-Party), Crists decision to jump into the Florida Senate race as a republican would have proven costly. The FL Senate race once looked to be a cakewalk for Crist who appealed to the moderate, establishment republican type. Crist is still the establishment Republican and Washington establishment favorite.

The tea party movement has latched onto Marco Rubio much to his benefit. Mainly because Rubio stands for principles over party; had he been strictly a party man he wouldn’t have entered the Florida Senate race, he would have simply stepped aside and allowed Charlie Crist to walk across the finish line with a 30 point victory. Unfortunately for Rubio and conservatives his principles may lead to Charlie Crist becoming a United States Senator voting with the democratic block.

Florida Senate race polls indicate that moderate and liberal voters are not turned off by Charlie Crist’s pimping of himself to independents. Florida has been a fairly conservative state but now seems poised to go either way. Let’s just hope turnout is in Rubio’s favor. Who need’s another John McCain or Lindsey Graham in the Senate?




Senate Polls, Florida, General Election Match-ups

Polling Date Polling Company Charlie Crist (R) Marco Rubio (R) Kendrick Meek (D) Greene (D)
10/31/2010 PPP 30% 47% 21% -

10/31/2010 Sunshine State 31% 48% 20% -

10/31/2010 Quinnipiac 31% 45% 18% -

10/27/2010 Rasmussen 30% 50% 16% -

10/27/2010 Sunshine State 27% 47% 23% -

10/27/2010 Mason-Dixon 28% 45% 21% -

10/24/2010 Quinnipiac 35% 42% 15% -

10/21/2010 Zogby 33% 40% 18% -

10/19/2010 St. Petersburg Times 26% 41% 20% -

10/19/2010 CNN 32% 46% 20% -

10/18/2010 Rasmussen 32% 43% 20% -

10/17/2010 Suffolk U 31% 39% 22% -

10/10/2010 PPP 33% 44% 21% -

10/10/2010 Quinnipiac 30% 44% 22% -

10/10/2010 Sunshine State 29% 45% 21% -

10/7/2010 Rasmussen 25% 50% 19% -

10/6/2010 Mason Dixon 27% 42% 21% -

9/28/2010 Rasmussen 30% 41% 21% -

9/28/2010 CNN 31% 42% 23% -

9/26/2010 Quinnipiac 33% 46% 18% -

9/22/2010 Mason Dixon 28% 40% 23% -

9/14/2010 Rasmussen 30% 41% 23% -

9/12/2010 Reuters 26% 40% 21% -

9/11/2010 Fox News 27% 43% 21% -

9/7/2010 CNN 34% 36% 24% -

9/7/2010 Sunshine State 29% 43% 23% -

8/25/2010 Rasmussen 30% 40% 21% -

8/22/2010 PPP 32% 40% 17% -

8/16/2010 Quinnipiac 39% 32% 16% -

8/11/2010 Mason Dixon 33% 38% 18% -

8/10/2010 St. Petersburg Times 33% 29% 17% -

8/9/2010 Rasmussen 33% 38% 21% -

7/28/2010 New York Times 41% 30% 12% -

7/27/2010 Quinnipiac 39% 33% 13% -

7/21/2010 Rasmussen 33% 35% 20% -

7/21/2010 Rasmussen 36% 34% - 19%

7/18/2010 PPP 35% 29% 17% -

7/18/2010 PPP 38% 29% - 13%

7/13/2010 Reuters 35% 28% 17% -

7/13/2010 Reuters 34% 29% - 18%

7/8/2010 Rasmussen 34% 36% 15% -

7/8/2010 Rasmussen 33% 37% - 18%

6/9/2010 Quinnipiac 37% 33% 17% -

6/9/2010 Quinnipiac 40% 33% - 14%

6/9/2010 Rasmussen 37% 37% 15% -

6/9/2010 Rasmussen 41% 37% 13%
5/23/2010 St. Petersburg Times 30% 27% 15%
5/17/2010 Rasmussen 31% 39% 18%
5/4/2010 Rasmussen 38% 34% 17%
4/22/2010 Rasmussen 30% 37% 22%
4/15/2010 Quinnipiac 32% 30% 24%
3/25/2010 Rasmussen 45% - 34%
3/25/2010 Rasmussen - 48% 34%
1/28/2010 Fabrizio 47% - 29%
1/28/2010 Fabrizio - 42% 30%
1/27/2010 Rasmussen 48% - 33%
1/27/2010 Rasmussen - 49% 32%
1/24/2010 Quinnipiac 48% - 36%
1/24/2010 Quinnipiac - 44% 35%




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Contributing authors: Frank, Shannon, McCain