The once seemingly unbeatable Barbara Boxer now appears susceptible to defeat in the 2010 California Senate race. Coupled with her “please call me Senator” moment and just being a democrat in general (an endangered species in 2010), Boxer only enjoys a 7 point lead in the latest California Senate polls over Carly Fiorina. Fiorina is vying for the opportunity to land one of the biggest of prizes of the 2010 general election.
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Carly Fiorina welcomed Barbara Boxer to the California Senate race as Boxer made her candidacy official; she promised her the “race of her political career.” It appears the CA Senate race could turn into a cat fight (and that’s putting it mildly). Fiorina is the former CEO of Hewlitt Packard and survivor of breast cancer. Fiorina says on her website, “The good news is after chemotherapy Barbara Boxer isn’t very scary anymore.” In the latest CA Senate Polls she trails Boxer but not by much.
In the latest California Senate polls, Carly Fiorina leads in some, trails in others. The bottom line is the California Senate race will be much more competitive than Senator Boxer anticipated over a year ago.
One CA Senate poll has Fiorina leading Boxer by 2 while Rasmussen has Senator Boxer opening a nice lead of about 7. Polling on this volatile race is all over the map. Although Boxer is doing better, she’s still a vulnerable incumbent in this election season.
As you can see the California Senate race is shaping up to be one of the most entertaining of 2010. Barbara Boxer is a huge target for the GOP. Like winning back the Kennedy seat in Massachusetts, and like the very real possibility that Harry Reid will lose in Nevada, beating Barbara Boxer in the 2010 general election is right up there. Boxer is a big name fish and the Republicans want to fry her.
Even though this is the California Senate race we’re talking about here, Barbara Boxer is vulnerable. In this case her 18 years in the US Senate may be a liability instead of an asset. The anti-incumbent, anti-Obama, anti-democrat mentality has spread even to the safe liberal haven of California. Polls indicate a much tighter race than Madame Senator Boxer anticipated or wants for that matter.
| Senate Polls, California, General Election Match-ups | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Polling Date | Polling Company | Barbara Boxer (D) | Carly Fiorina (R) |
| 10/31/2010 | PPP | 50% | 46% |
| 10/31/2010 | Survey USA | 46% | 38% |
| 10/27/2010 | Rasmussen | 49% | 40% |
| 10/26/2010 | CNN | 50% | 45% |
| 10/26/2010 | Field | 49% | 41% |
| 10/25/2010 | Survey USA | 45% | 40% |
| 10/24/2010 | Suffolk U | 52% | 43% |
| 10/23/2010 | Fox News | 48% | 44% |
| 10/23/2010 | PPP | 52% | 43% |
| 10/21/2010 | Rasmussen | 48% | 46% |
| 10/20/2010 | LA Times | 50% | 42% |
| 10/18/2010 | Survey USA | 46% | 44% |
| 10/17/2010 | PPIC | 43% | 38% |
| 10/16/2010 | Fox News | 48% | 44% |
| 10/14/2010 | Wilson Research | 43% | 46% |
| 10/14/2010 | Reuters | 46% | 45% |
| 10/13/2010 | Rasmussen | 49% | 46% |
| 10/4/2010 | Reuters | 49% | 45% |
| 10/3/2010 | Rasmussen | 49% | 45% |
| 10/3/2010 | Survey USA | 46% | 43% |
| 9/28/2010 | CNN | 52% | 43% |
| 9/26/2010 | PPIC | 42% | 35% |
| 9/21/2010 | Survey USA | 49% | 43% |
| 9/20/2010 | Rasmussen | 47% | 43% |
| 9/22/2010 | LA Times | 51% | 43% |
| 9/21/2010 | Field | 47% | 41% |
| 9/18/2010 | Fox News | 47% | 46% |
| 9/16/2010 | PPP | 50% | 42% |
| 9/11/2010 | Fox News | 46% | 44% |
| 9/7/2010 | CNN | 48% | 44% |
| 9/6/2010 | Rasmussen | 47% | 48% |
| 9/1/2010 | Survey USA | 46% | 48% |
| 7/25/2010 | PPP | 49% | 40% |
| 7/12/2010 | Rasmussen | 49% | 42% |
| 7/11/2010 | Survey USA | 45% | 47% |
| 7/8/2010 | Field | 47% | 44% |
| 6/27/2010 | Reuters | 45% | 41% |
| 6/11/2010 | Rasmussen | 48% | 43% |
| 5/31/2010 | LA Times | 44% | 38% |
| 5/26/2010 | PPP | 45% | 42% |
| 5/21/2010 | Daily Kos | 48% | 39% |
| 5/20/2010 | PPIC | 48% | 39% |
| 5/11/2010 | Rasmussen | 45% | 38% |
| 4/14/2010 | Rasmussen | 42% | 38% |
| 3/16/2010 | Rasmussen | 46% | 40% |
| 2/11/2010 | Rasmussen | 46% | 42% |
| 1/19/2010 | PPIC | 48% | 40% |
| 1/17/2010 | Field | 50% | 35% |
Remember California exit polls and election results will be included with the live election returns window to be included here.
Contributing authors: Frank, Shannon, McCain










February 19th, 2010 at 12:45 pm
[...] California Senate Polls (CA) [...]
February 19th, 2010 at 9:32 pm
Fiorina isn’t just the sentimental favorite. She’s got a zillion bucks and California has a bias for chick senate candidates. the soccer moms will nominate her.
February 20th, 2010 at 12:56 am
Obama’s deficit?
Fiorina ran HP into the ground. She’s an idiot.
Yeah let’s turn the country back over to the Republicans. That makes a whole lot of sense. Let’s let them…finish the job.
February 20th, 2010 at 1:45 am
Klo – you really need to chill out and try to get a fresh perspective on things. Step away from the Kool-aid!
February 20th, 2010 at 3:42 pm
Help Carly if you can – this shows how much Barbara Boxer “cares” and how in-touch she is
http://bit.ly/info/9KYOZx
May 11th, 2010 at 7:37 am
Give me a Democratic alternative, then I’ll vote for them, these Republican alternatives are not alternatives.
September 7th, 2010 at 3:57 pm
Fiorina ran HP into the ground.
Exactly. Ask anyone who remotely works with computers what Fiorina did to HP. She destroyed Hewlett Packard and was forced out (note link is from 2005) with a $21 million “get the hell out of here” golden parachute. HP’s stock rose 10% the day she was booted.
Read the article. Fiorina was a colossal disaster for HP. She also was a horrible representative for McCain, which is why they too asked her to disappear from the media.
If she wins, it will be only because of anti-encumbancy and the state of the economy.
September 7th, 2010 at 3:58 pm
*I*ncumb*E*ncy. PREVIEW BUTTON, PLEASE!
September 7th, 2010 at 6:54 pm
That may or may not be true, me, but she’s NOT Barbara ‘Please call me Senator’ Boxer. She can’t be worse than that.
September 7th, 2010 at 7:01 pm
If Fiorina did run HP into the ground it doesnt say much for Boxer since the spread is so thin.
September 8th, 2010 at 11:43 am
I’ve lived in California my entire life and I must say you have to be an absolutely horrific politician to be a democrat in California and lose to a Republican.
Boxer is GARBAGE!! She ALWAYS has been. I’ve never understand why ANYONE would vote for her or Pelosi. They are COMPLETELY worthless. Just look where California is at.
These mental midgets have effectively destroyed the best state in the union!
October 31st, 2010 at 9:34 am
Let’s see the democrats have been in charge of CA for about the last 20 years, and have had control of Congress for almost 4 years, and a super majority for almost 2 years, and CA is the state that is in the worst condition in the union, so let’s see, why don’t we re-elect the democrats ? a lot of people just don’t understand, they perceive that the Governor makes the laws, when in fact the democrats are the ones making the laws, the Governor is guilty of signing some of the laws, but is just really giving the democrats what they want, he is a RINO anyways.
October 31st, 2010 at 9:50 am
Boxer has worked hard for california for many years and understands the issues. Its wrong to trash her and its a mistake to think fiorina can automatically really do any better. I am against fiorina as she was overpaid as ceo of hp and left under a cloud. She has no special skills or insights outside of hp as far as I can tell. What is important is that the senator of calif, have a good network of people she can influence and who is dedicated to working on the people’s behalf with some results. If you go to boxers website you will find a lot of useful information on programs and bills and what she plans to do about them. I think fiorina and whitman are running vanity campaigns with their own money mainly. Anyone knows what california needs is jobs and capped public employee salaries and pensions and reduction in regulations and taxes so people and businesses can thrive and compete. Its not rocket science. California has a problem though, one is its structural flawas in too many mandated initiatives outside of the governors budget and its now set in cement reputation as being a hard place to do business in. I would add its housing market is out of control price wise. It also has infrastructure problems of crowded big city freeways and real problmes with health care access. This is why even the governator has had an impossible time reforming california. There is no magic wand cure. But if in the next years public outlays can be reduced, a reset frankly, and infrastructure bottle necks and the business climate be addressed it would be a good thing. I think they should downsize the beuracracy and reduce their overall compensation as well, its grown too top heavy.
October 31st, 2010 at 11:39 pm
Brian, I agree fully. Anyone that is going to make a comment should do their research, like you obviously have, before they just spew out whatever hateful message they want to put out there. Thank you for putting out your insightful message and hopefully enlightening some who are open enough to accept an intelligent perspective on the reality of what is going on in our state. Thank you.
November 1st, 2010 at 1:43 pm
I totally agree with those who support Fiorina. I think BOXER MUST LEAVE THE SENATE…
First of all, if Boxer does have good ideas then why, as incumbent, has she led California to the way it is today? Please don’t say things were out of her control. As Senator, she had tremendous impact on the present condition of California as we see it today. As a weak leader with a low vision for California’s future, she may promote only today’s pressing needs, but lacks the strength to make tough choices needed for our state. Seems like she only want’s the sanctuary of her office and will only provide the leadership that promotes her next election. So much for the need of California’s residents, it’s more a matter of the specific votes that keep her in. While watching the debates in San Luis Obispo, Boxer’s statements were very general, unlike Fiorina who had concrete ideas for this state.
People make the false assumption that just because Fiorina was booted out of HP, she will be a terrible Senator for California. That’s ridiculous. First of all, a leader also needs to make tough decisions. She made choices in HP that outsourced work and increased the productivity of that company. Sure jobs were lost, but for the need to save the company from tanking. Do you guys want to see California tank? Why are we losing jobs now? Don’t blame Fiorina, blame Boxer – the incumbent who should have had the fiscal management and vision for this state in the first place!!!
November 1st, 2010 at 4:43 pm
Brian;”Boxer has worked hard for california for many years and understands the issues. ”
And then you followed up on that with all the crap California is facing as result of her. She understands nothing.
Pay attention Zoanne
November 2nd, 2010 at 2:13 pm
Hello, just stopped by doing some research for my Hewlett Packard website. Can’t believe the amount of information out there. Not what I was looking for, but good site. Have a good day.
November 2nd, 2010 at 8:57 pm
Boxer is anti rights, nothing more needs to be said. Fiorina needs to replace Boxer.