The once seemingly unbeatable Barbara Boxer now appears susceptible to defeat in the 2010 California Senate race. Coupled with her “please call me Senator” moment and just being a democrat in general (an endangered species in 2010), Boxer only enjoys a 7 point lead in the latest California Senate polls over Carly Fiorina. Fiorina is vying for the opportunity to land one of the biggest of prizes of the 2010 general election.

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Carly Fiorina welcomed Barbara Boxer to the California Senate race as Boxer made her candidacy official; she promised her the “race of her political career.” It appears the CA Senate race could turn into a cat fight (and that’s putting it mildly). Fiorina is the former CEO of Hewlitt Packard and survivor of breast cancer. Fiorina says on her website, “The good news is after chemotherapy Barbara Boxer isn’t very scary anymore.” In the latest CA Senate Polls she trails Boxer but not by much.

In the latest California Senate polls, Carly Fiorina leads in some, trails in others. The bottom line is the California Senate race will be much more competitive than Senator Boxer anticipated over a year ago.

One CA Senate poll has Fiorina leading Boxer by 2 while Rasmussen has Senator Boxer opening a nice lead of about 7. Polling on this volatile race is all over the map. Although Boxer is doing better, she’s still a vulnerable incumbent in this election season.

As you can see the California Senate race is shaping up to be one of the most entertaining of 2010. Barbara Boxer is a huge target for the GOP. Like winning back the Kennedy seat in Massachusetts, and like the very real possibility that Harry Reid will lose in Nevada, beating Barbara Boxer in the 2010 general election is right up there. Boxer is a big name fish and the Republicans want to fry her.

Even though this is the California Senate race we’re talking about here, Barbara Boxer is vulnerable. In this case her 18 years in the US Senate may be a liability instead of an asset. The anti-incumbent, anti-Obama, anti-democrat mentality has spread even to the safe liberal haven of California. Polls indicate a much tighter race than Madame Senator Boxer anticipated or wants for that matter.




Senate Polls, California, General Election Match-ups

Polling Date Polling Company Barbara Boxer (D) Carly Fiorina (R)
10/31/2010 PPP 50% 46%

10/31/2010 Survey USA 46% 38%

10/27/2010 Rasmussen 49% 40%

10/26/2010 CNN 50% 45%

10/26/2010 Field 49% 41%

10/25/2010 Survey USA 45% 40%

10/24/2010 Suffolk U 52% 43%

10/23/2010 Fox News 48% 44%

10/23/2010 PPP 52% 43%

10/21/2010 Rasmussen 48% 46%

10/20/2010 LA Times 50% 42%

10/18/2010 Survey USA 46% 44%

10/17/2010 PPIC 43% 38%

10/16/2010 Fox News 48% 44%

10/14/2010 Wilson Research 43% 46%

10/14/2010 Reuters 46% 45%

10/13/2010 Rasmussen 49% 46%

10/4/2010 Reuters 49% 45%

10/3/2010 Rasmussen 49% 45%

10/3/2010 Survey USA 46% 43%

9/28/2010 CNN 52% 43%

9/26/2010 PPIC 42% 35%

9/21/2010 Survey USA 49% 43%

9/20/2010 Rasmussen 47% 43%

9/22/2010 LA Times 51% 43%

9/21/2010 Field 47% 41%

9/18/2010 Fox News 47% 46%

9/16/2010 PPP 50% 42%

9/11/2010 Fox News 46% 44%

9/7/2010 CNN 48% 44%

9/6/2010 Rasmussen 47% 48%

9/1/2010 Survey USA 46% 48%

7/25/2010 PPP 49% 40%

7/12/2010 Rasmussen 49% 42%

7/11/2010 Survey USA 45% 47%

7/8/2010 Field 47% 44%

6/27/2010 Reuters 45% 41%

6/11/2010 Rasmussen 48% 43%

5/31/2010 LA Times 44% 38%

5/26/2010 PPP 45% 42%

5/21/2010 Daily Kos 48% 39%

5/20/2010 PPIC 48% 39%

5/11/2010 Rasmussen 45% 38%

4/14/2010 Rasmussen 42% 38%

3/16/2010 Rasmussen 46% 40%

2/11/2010 Rasmussen 46% 42%

1/19/2010 PPIC 48% 40%

1/17/2010 Field 50% 35%




Remember California exit polls and election results will be included with the live election returns window to be included here.

Contributing authors: Frank, Shannon, McCain