Harry Reid is losing in the latest Nevada polls as the Nevada senate race begins to heat up. That the Senate majority leader could lose in 2010 to either of the main GOP candidates, Danny Tarkanian or Sue Lowden, would be a remarkable signature on what may prove to be a Republican tidal wave in November.

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First to the GOP primary which will come down to a choice between Sue Lowden and Danny Tarkanian. Recent polls show the primary race a statistical tie with few voters making up their minds so early.

Lowden has been beat up by pro-lifers over the abortion issue. She considers herself pro-life now but her views have evolved from one of legislative support for abortion laws in Nevada early in her career as a state senator.

The campaign between the two candidates is already getting nasty so expect negative campaigning in the state for the rest of the year. The two have traded nasty barbs over who would have supported the federal TARP bill less. She is being nicknamed “snow white” by her opponents and accused of trying to buy an upcoming straw poll.

Tarkanian on the other hand has been accused of being “desperate” by the Lowden campaign. They make a fair point that he has an abysmal losing record attempting to win public office in the state. On the other hand this is no ordinary year.

Although NV senate polls for the primary contest are very close, those same polls in Nevada show Reid trailing badly. The polls are telling us that residents do not know much about either GOP candidate yet, but they are certain that they do not want to re-elect Senator Reid.

Harry Reid is in deep trouble and it’s not all his fault. His reputation in Nevada is similar to the reputation he has nationally. Voters in the state see a weak leader who is stuck, either willfully or not, attempting to steer unpopular legislation through the U.S. Senate as the Democrat majority leader. The Nevada electorate is apparently ready to send a message that voters do not want the snake oil that Senator Reid is selling.

But some of the poor NV poll numbers are his fault including the seemingly racist comments made about Barack Obama that were revealed in a recent book. Obama himself sent a poison pill Harry Reid’s way with his thrashing of the state’s tourism industry in 2009 which sent the Las Vegas economy into shambles. Reid’s response was unusually tepid for a senator elected to represent his state’s interests.

Right Pundits is calling the state “leans Republican” based on the general mood and Nevada poll data that is already available. That prognosis may change if Harry Reid decides to quit the race. Now on to the polls themselves which will be updated frequently.




Senate Polls, Nevada, General Election

Polling Date Polling Company Sharron Angle (R) Harry Reid (R)
10/31/2010 PPP 47% 46%

10/30/2010 Fox News 48% 45%

10/27/2010 Mason Dixon 49% 45%

10/25/2010 Rasmussen 49% 45%

10/26/2010 CNN 49% 45%

10/17/2010 Rasmussen 50% 47%

10/12/2010 Mason Dixon 48% 46%

10/11/2010 Rasmussen 49% 48%

10/11/2010 Suffolk 43% 46%

10/9/2010 Fox News 49% 47%

10/9/2010 PPP 45% 47%

10/5/2010 Rasmussen 50% 46%

10/5/2010 CNN 42% 40%

9/28/2010 Rasmussen 47% 48%

9/23/2010 Retail Association of Nevada 40% 45%

9/22/2010 Mason Dixon 43% 43%

9/18/2010 Fox News 46% 45%

9/14/2010 CNN 42% 41%

9/13/2010 Rasmussen 48% 48%

9/12/2010 Reuters 44% 46%

9/11/2010 Fox News 45% 44%

9/9/2010 Mason Dixon 44% 46%

9/1/2010 Rasmussen 47% 50%

8/25/2010 Mason Dixon 44% 45%

8/1/2010 Reuters 44% 48%

7/28/2010 Mason Dixon 42% 43%

7/27/2010 Rasmussen 43% 45%

7/18/2010 PPP 46% 48%

7/14/2010 Las Vegas Review Journal 37% 44%

7/12/2010 Rasmussen 46% 43%

6/10/2010 Rasmussen 39% 50%

6/6/2010 Mason Dixon 44% 41%

6/3/2010 Daily Kos 37% 43%

That is it for the latest polls in Nevada. Feel free to comment on whom you believe would be a better candidate to emerge from the Tarkanian Lowden primary, and what Harry Reid’s poll numbers mean to his chances in November.

Lastly, here is a recent ad from Nevada showing what Harry Reid is up against in the state.

Remember Nevada exit polls and election results will be included with the live election returns window to be included here.