The SOTU address produced a small bounce among democrats a week ago. This was followed, almost immediately, by an outlier among men, both republican and independent.
This information affected the weekly averages, albeit slightly. Keep this information in mind when inspecting the data.
However, even with a bounce and an outlier, the approval numbers were not good. They were just a little better than the previous weeks.
I will include analysis below each table.
Weekly results and 4-week averages are important to look at but it isn’t the only thing to analyze.
Look below for details.
Let’s start with overall approval. The following table includes total approval and total disapproval since early May.
Obama Weekly Approval (Overall)
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
Apr 27 - 03 : 55.15% / 43.71% / 11.44%
May 04 - 10 : 57.40% / 41.94% / 15.46%
May 11 - 17 : 56.68% / 42.36% / 14.32%
May 18 - 24 : 56.36% / 42.38% / 13.98%
May 25 - 31 : 57.88% / 41.02% / 16.86%
June 01 - 07 : 54.50% / 44.80% / 9.70%
June 08 - 14 : 55.15% / 43.86% / 11.29%
June 15 - 21 : 54.06% / 44.97% / 9.09%
June 22 - 28 : 55.19% / 43.76% / 11.43%
June 29 - 05 : 52.00% / 46.00% / 6.00%
July 06 - 12 : 50.99% / 47.48% / 3.51%
July 13 - 19 : 50.83% / 48.06% / 2.77%
July 20 - 26 : 49.82% / 49.06% / 0.76%
July 27 - 02 : 49.51% / 48.99% / 0.52%
Aug 03 - 09 : 49.40% / 49.88% / -0.48%
Aug 10 - 16 : 48.87% / 50.66% / -1.79%
Aug 17 - 23 : 49.02% / 50.46% / -1.44%
Aug 24 - 30 : 49.43% / 49.50% / -0.07%
Sept 31 - 06 : 48.24% / 51.29% / -3.05%
Sept 07 - 13 : 50.22% / 49.18% / 1.04%
Sept 14 - 20 : 47.95% / 51.14% / -3.19%
Sept 21 - 27 : 49.35% / 49.63% / -0.28%
Sept 28 - 04 : 49.62% / 49.68% / -0.06%
Oct 05 - 11 : 48.84% / 50.55% / -1.71%
Oct 12 - 18 : 48.16% / 50.50% / -2.34%
Oct 19 - 25 : 47.72% / 51.41% / -3.69%
Oct 26 - 01 : 47.51% / 51.24% / -3.73%
Nov 02 - 08 : 48.38% / 51.02% / -2.64%
Nov 09 - 15 : 48.30% / 50.47% / -2.17%
Nov 16 - 22 : 46.68% / 52.66% / -5.98%
Nov 23 - 29 : 46.86% / 52.38% / -5.52%
Nov 30 - 06 : 46.96% / 52.10% / -5.14%
Dec 07 - 13 : 46.86% / 51.99% / -5.13%
Dec 14 - 20 : 45.93% / 53.28% / -7.35%
Dec 21 - 27 : 45.92% / 53.59% / -7.67%
Dec 28 - 03 : 48.20% / 50.92% / -2.72%
Jan 04 - 10 : 46.84% / 52.23% / -5.39%
Jan 11 - 17 : 47.16% / 51.91% / -4.75%
Jan 18 - 24 : 46.79% / 52.57% / -5.78%
Jan 25 - 31 : 47.96% / 51.68% / -3.72%
Six (6) weeks of incredibly consistent numbers, followed by an outlier (end of December). This was followed by a return to the normal range. Where this will lead is up in the air. It does appear as if job approval has stabilized in the high-46% to low-47% range.
Look at a table for the “approval index.”
Time Span : Approval
Time Span : Index
Apr 27 - 03 : 2.50%
May 04 - 10 : 7.55%
May 11 - 17 : 5.60%
May 18 - 24 : 4.90%
May 25 - 31 : 8.27%
June 01 - 07 : 3.17%
June 08 - 14 : 4.27%
June 15 - 21 : 0.54%
June 22 - 28 : 1.64%
June 29 - 05 : -3.00%
July 06 - 12 : -7.65%
July 13 - 19 : -5.92%
July 20 - 26 : -8.29%
July 27 - 02 : -8.18%
Aug 03 - 09 : -6.77%
Aug 10 - 16 : -6.61%
Aug 17 - 23 : -9.68%
Aug 24 - 30 : -7.28%
Aug 31 - 06 : -11.40%
Sept 07 - 13 : -4.14%
Sept 14 - 20 : -7.92%
Sept 21 - 27 : -8.42%
Sept 28 - 04 : -7.93%
Oct 05 - 11 : -6.87%
Oct 12 - 18 : -9.07%
Oct 19 - 25 : -11.07%
Oct 26 - 01 : -9.77%
Nov 02 - 08 : -9.21%
Nov 09 - 15 : -9.91%
Nov 16 - 22 : -13.39%
Nov 23 - 29 : -14.29%
Nov 30 - 06 : -11.81%
Dec 07 - 13 : -12.47%
Dec 14 - 20 : -13.90%
Dec 21 - 27 : -14.05%
Dec 28 - 03 : -14.03%
Jan 04 - 10 : -14.15%
Jan 11 - 17 : -12.66%
Jan 18 - 24 : -15.11%
Jan 25 - 31 : -11.09%
Still in negative double digits. This shows the small bounce in strongly approve that occurred from the “bounce.”
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
5/11 - 6/07 : 56.36% / 42.64% / 13.72%
5/18 - 6/14 : 55.97% / 43.02% / 12.96%
5/25 - 6/21 : 55.40% / 43.66% / 11.74%
6/01 - 6/28 : 54.73% / 44.35% / 10.38%
6/08 - 7/05 : 54.10% / 44.65% / 9.45%
6/15 - 7/12 : 53.06% / 45.55% / 7.51%
6/22 - 7/19 : 52.25% / 46.33% / 5.93%
6/29 - 7/26 : 50.91% / 47.65% / 3.26%
7/06 - 8/02 : 50.29% / 48.40% / 1.89%
7/13 - 8/09 : 49.89% / 49.00% / 0.89%
7/20 - 8/16 : 49.40% / 49.65% / -0.25%
7/27 - 8/23 : 49.20% / 50.00% / -0.80%
8/03 - 8/30 : 49.18% / 50.13% / -0.94%
8/10 - 9/06 : 48.89% / 50.48% / -1.59%
8/17 - 9/13 : 49.23% / 50.11% / -0.88%
8/24 - 9/20 : 48.96% / 50.28% / -1.32%
8/31 - 9/27 : 48.94% / 50.31% / -1.37%
9/07 - 10/04 : 49.29% / 49.91% / -0.62%
9/14 - 10/11 : 48.94% / 50.25% / -1.31%
9/21 - 10/18 : 48.99% / 50.09% / -1.10%
9/28 - 10/25 : 48.59% / 50.54% / -1.95%
10/05 - 11/01 : 48.06% / 50.93% / -2.87%
10/12 - 11/08 : 47.94% / 51.04% / -3.10%
10/19 - 11/15 : 47.98% / 51.04% / -3.06%
10/26 - 11/22 : 47.72% / 51.35% / -3.63%
11/02 - 11/29 : 47.56% / 51.63% / -4.08%
11/09 - 12/06 : 47.20% / 51.90% / -4.70%
11/16 - 12/13 : 46.84% / 52.28% / -5.44%
11/23 - 12/20 : 46.65% / 52.44% / -5.79%
11/30 - 12/27 : 46.42% / 52.74% / -6.32%
12/07 - 01/03 : 46.73% / 52.45% / -5.72%
12/14 - 01/10 : 46.72% / 52.51% / -5.78%
12/21 - 01/17 : 47.03% / 52.16% / -5.13%
12/28 - 01/24 : 47.25% / 51.91% / -4.66%
01/04 - 01/31 : 47.19% / 52.10% / -4.91%
The four-week averages shows a small increase recently.
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
Apr 27 - 03 : 45.09% / 53.66% / -8.57%
May 04 - 10 : 48.30% / 50.55% / -2.25%
May 11 - 17 : 48.75% / 50.72% / -1.97%
May 18 - 24 : 47.94% / 50.12% / -2.18%
May 25 - 31 : 51.64% / 47.74% / 3.90%
June 01 - 07 : 49.46% / 50.21% / -0.75%
June 08 - 14 : 49.32% / 48.57% / 0.75%
June 15 - 21 : 44.22% / 53.82% / -9.60%
June 22 - 28 : 49.12% / 48.88% / 0.24%
June 29 - 05 : 45.00% / 54.00% / -9.00%
July 06 - 12 : 41.45% / 57.37% / -15.92%
July 13 - 19 : 40.16% / 58.04% / -17.88%
July 20 - 26 : 43.15% / 56.50% / -13.35%
July 27 - 02 : 42.52% / 54.95% / -12.43%
Aug 03 - 09 : 41.37% / 57.30% / -15.93%
Aug 10 - 16 : 36.84% / 62.59% / -25.75%
Aug 17 - 23 : 40.33% / 59.02% / -18.69%
Aug 24 - 30 : 36.66% / 62.02% / -25.36%
Sept 31 - 06 : 38.57% / 61.05% / -22.48%
Sept 07 - 13 : 43.85% / 55.47% / -11.62%
Sept 14 - 20 : 36.83% / 61.44% / -24.61%
Sept 21 - 27 : 36.26% / 63.03% / -26.77%
Sept 28 - 04 : 41.58% / 58.22% / -16.64%
Oct 05 - 11 : 40.51% / 59.18% / -18.67%
Oct 12 - 18 : 39.08% / 58.04% / -18.96%
Oct 19 - 25 : 36.76% / 62.09% / -25.33%
Oct 26 - 01 : 40.77% / 57.54% / -16.77%
Nov 02 - 08 : 41.45% / 57.11% / -15.66%
Nov 09 - 15 : 38.29% / 60.24% / -21.95%
Nov 16 - 22 : 37.95% / 60.70% / -22.75%
Nov 23 - 29 : 39.61% / 60.07% / -20.46%
Nov 30 - 06 : 37.67% / 61.21% / -23.54%
Dec 07 - 13 : 39.66% / 60.00% / -20.34%
Dec 14 - 20 : 36.46% / 61.90% / -25.44%
Dec 21 - 27 : 35.48% / 64.27% / -28.79%
Dec 28 - 03 : 36.44% / 62.46% / -26.02%
Jan 04 - 10 : 38.12% / 61.79% / -23.67%
Jan 11 - 17 : 39.07% / 59.81% / -20.74%
Jan 18 - 24 : 40.51% / 58.95% / -18.44%
Jan 25 - 31 : 40.75% / 58.83% / -18.08%
Approval among independents had been very consistently with a window of mid 37% to mid 39% with an increase the last three weeks. We will need to monitor over the next several weeks to see if there has been an increase in approval.
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
7/06 - 8/02 : 41.82% / 56.72% / -14.90%
7/13 - 8/09 : 41.80% / 56.70% / -14.90%
7/20 - 8/16 : 40.97% / 57.84% / -16.87%
7/27 - 8/23 : 40.27% / 58.47% / -18.20%
8/03 - 8/30 : 38.80% / 60.23% / -21.43%
8/10 - 9/06 : 38.10% / 61.17% / -23.07%
8/17 - 9/13 : 39.85% / 59.39% / -19.54%
8/24 - 9/20 : 38.98% / 60.00% / -21.02%
8/31 - 9/27 : 38.88% / 60.25% / -21.37%
9/07 - 10/04 : 39.63% / 59.54% / -19.91%
9/14 - 10/11 : 38.80% / 60.47% / -21.67%
9/21 - 10/18 : 39.36% / 59.62% / -20.26%
9/28 - 10/25 : 39.48% / 59.38% / -19.90%
10/05 - 11/01 : 39.28% / 59.21% / -19.93%
10/12 - 11/08 : 39.52% / 58.70% / -19.18%
10/19 - 11/15 : 39.32% / 59.25% / -19.93%
10/26 - 11/22 : 39.62% / 58.90% / -19.28%
11/02 - 11/29 : 39.33% / 59.53% / -20.21%
11/09 - 12/06 : 38.38% / 60.56% / -22.18%
11/16 - 12/13 : 38.72% / 60.50% / -21.77%
11/23 - 12/20 : 38.35% / 60.80% / -22.45%
11/30 - 12/27 : 37.32% / 61.85% / -24.53%
12/07 - 01/03 : 37.01% / 62.16% / -25.15%
12/14 - 01/10 : 36.63% / 62.61% / -25.98%
12/21 - 01/17 : 37.28% / 62.08% / -24.81%
12/28 - 01/24 : 38.54% / 60.75% / -22.22%
01/04 - 01/31 : 39.61% / 59.85% / -20.23%
A consistent trend of approval in the 37% to 39% range with a slight upturn over the last couple weeks.
Now, men.
Obama Monthly Approval (Men)
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
July 06 - 12 : 46.04% / 52.50% / -6.46%
July 13 - 19 : 45.66% / 53.27% / -7.61%
July 20 - 26 : 45.69% / 52.93% / -7.24%
July 27 - 02 : 44.74% / 54.01% / -9.27%
Aug 03 - 09 : 45.18% / 54.40% / -9.22%
Aug 10 - 16 : 44.96% / 54.96% / -10.00%
Aug 17 - 23 : 44.62% / 54.72% / -10.10%
Aug 24 - 30 : 44.59% / 54.54% / -9.95%
Sept 31 - 06 : 45.38% / 54.04% / -8.66%
Sept 07 - 13 : 44.34% / 54.77% / -10.43%
Sept 14 - 20 : 44.51% / 53.93% / -9.42%
Sept 21 - 27 : 46.68% / 52.44% / -5.76%
Sept 28 - 04 : 43.28% / 56.04% / -12.76%
Oct 05 - 11 : 47.26% / 52.23% / -4.97%
Oct 12 - 18 : 44.50% / 54.24% / -9.74%
Oct 19 - 25 : 46.85% / 52.29% / -5.44%
Oct 26 - 01 : 45.03% / 54.09% / -9.06%
Nov 02 - 08 : 41.43% / 57.94% / -16.51%
Nov 09 - 15 : 43.54% / 55.09% / -11.55%
Nov 16 - 22 : 41.86% / 57.81% / -15.95%
Nov 23 - 29 : 43.25% / 56.45% / -13.20%
Nov 30 - 06 : 42.08% / 56.55% / -14.47%
Dec 07 - 13 : 45.00% / 53.44% / -8.44%
Dec 14 - 20 : 40.16% / 59.12% / -18.96%
Dec 21 - 27 : 38.22% / 61.07% / -22.85%
Dec 28 - 03 : 43.38% / 56.33% / -12.95%
Jan 04 - 10 : 41.45% / 58.21% / -16.76%
Jan 11 - 17 : 44.90% / 54.04% / -9.14%
Jan 18 - 24 : 44.92% / 54.67% / -9.75%
Jan 25 - 31 : 44.77% / 54.69% / -9.92%
Pure statistical noise with a possibility of a small increase in approval.
Let’s look at the four-week trends.
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
7/06 - 8/02 : 45.53% / 53.18% / -7.65%
7/13 - 8/09 : 45.32% / 53.65% / -8.34%
7/20 - 8/16 : 45.14% / 54.08% / -8.93%
7/27 - 8/23 : 44.88% / 54.52% / -9.65%
8/03 - 8/30 : 44.84% / 54.66% / -9.82%
8/10 - 9/06 : 44.89% / 54.57% / -9.68%
8/17 - 9/13 : 44.73% / 54.52% / -9.79%
8/24 - 9/20 : 44.71% / 54.32% / -9.62%
8/31 - 9/27 : 45.23% / 53.80% / -8.57%
9/07 - 10/04 : 44.70% / 54.30% / -9.59%
9/14 - 10/11 : 45.43% / 53.66% / -8.23%
9/21 - 10/18 : 45.43% / 53.74% / -8.31%
9/28 - 10/25 : 45.47% / 53.70% / -8.23%
10/05 - 11/01 : 45.91% / 53.21% / -7.30%
10/12 - 11/08 : 44.45% / 54.64% / -10.19%
10/19 - 11/15 : 44.21% / 54.85% / -10.64%
10/26 - 11/22 : 42.97% / 56.23% / -13.27%
11/02 - 11/29 : 42.52% / 56.82% / -14.30%
11/09 - 12/06 : 42.68% / 56.48% / -13.79%
11/16 - 12/13 : 43.05% / 56.06% / -13.02%
11/23 - 12/20 : 42.62% / 56.39% / -13.77%
11/30 - 12/27 : 41.37% / 57.55% / -16.18%
12/07 - 01/03 : 41.69% / 57.41% / -15.72%
12/14 - 01/10 : 40.80% / 58.60% / -17.80%
12/21 - 01/17 : 41.99% / 57.33% / -15.34%
12/28 - 01/24 : 43.66% / 55.73% / -12.07%
01/04 - 01/31 : 44.01% / 55.40% / -11.39%
Relatively stable numbers with a upward trend recently. Support by men may be increasing.
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
July 06 - 12 : 55.40% / 43.03% / 12.37%
July 13 - 19 : 55.61% / 43.23% / 12.38%
July 20 - 26 : 53.51% / 45.62% / 7.89%
July 27 - 02 : 53.78% / 44.49% / 9.29%
Aug 03 - 09 : 53.17% / 45.86% / 7.31%
Aug 10 - 16 : 52.34% / 46.86% / 5.48%
Aug 17 - 23 : 52.74% / 46.86% / 5.88%
Aug 24 - 30 : 53.71% / 45.05% / 8.66%
Sept 31 - 06 : 50.83% / 48.81% / 2.02%
Sept 07 - 13 : 55.47% / 44.16% / 11.31%
Sept 14 - 20 : 50.91% / 48.74% / 2.17%
Sept 21 - 27 : 51.75% / 47.08% / 4.67%
Sept 28 - 04 : 55.22% / 44.03% / 11.19%
Oct 05 - 11 : 50.27% / 49.00% / 1.27%
Oct 12 - 18 : 51.45% / 47.15% / 4.30%
Oct 19 - 25 : 48.52% / 50.61% / -2.09%
Oct 26 - 01 : 49.79% / 48.61% / 1.18%
Nov 02 - 08 : 54.33% / 45.13% / 9.20%
Nov 09 - 15 : 52.51% / 46.39% / 6.12%
Nov 16 - 22 : 50.84% / 48.20% / 2.64%
Nov 23 - 29 : 50.01% / 48.82% / 1.19%
Nov 30 - 06 : 51.26% / 48.17% / 3.09%
Dec 07 - 13 : 48.57% / 50.67% / -2.10%
Dec 14 - 20 : 50.99% / 48.17% / 2.82%
Dec 21 - 27 : 52.45% / 47.23% / 5.22%
Dec 28 - 03 : 52.32% / 46.31% / 6.01%
Jan 04 - 10 : 51.60% / 46.95% / 4.65%
Jan 11 - 17 : 49.16% / 50.02% / -0.86%
Jan 18 - 24 : 48.51% / 50.64% / -2.13%
Jan 25 - 31 : 50.96% / 48.84% / 2.12%
So what is normal for women? It appears as if approval by women is stabilizing around 50% to 51%.
Obama Monthly Approval (Women, 4-week)
Time Span : Total / Total / Difference
Time Span : Approve / Disapprove / Difference
7/06 - 8/02 : 54.58% / 44.09% / 10.48%
7/13 - 8/09 : 54.02% / 44.80% / 9.22%
7/20 - 8/16 : 53.20% / 45.71% / 7.49%
7/27 - 8/23 : 53.01% / 46.02% / 6.99%
8/03 - 8/30 : 52.99% / 46.16% / 6.83%
8/10 - 9/06 : 52.41% / 46.90% / 5.51%
8/17 - 9/13 : 53.19% / 46.22% / 6.97%
8/24 - 9/20 : 52.73% / 46.69% / 6.04%
8/31 - 9/27 : 52.24% / 47.20% / 5.04%
9/07 - 10/04 : 53.34% / 46.00% / 7.34%
9/14 - 10/11 : 52.04% / 47.21% / 4.83%
9/21 - 10/18 : 52.17% / 46.82% / 5.36%
9/28 - 10/25 : 51.37% / 47.70% / 3.67%
10/05 - 11/01 : 50.01% / 48.84% / 1.17%
10/12 - 11/08 : 51.02% / 47.88% / 3.15%
10/19 - 11/15 : 51.29% / 47.69% / 3.60%
10/26 - 11/22 : 51.87% / 47.08% / 4.78%
11/02 - 11/29 : 51.92% / 47.14% / 4.79%
11/09 - 12/06 : 51.16% / 47.90% / 3.26%
11/16 - 12/13 : 50.17% / 48.97% / 1.21%
11/23 - 12/20 : 50.21% / 48.96% / 1.25%
11/30 - 12/27 : 50.82% / 48.56% / 2.26%
12/07 - 01/03 : 51.08% / 48.10% / 2.99%
12/14 - 01/10 : 51.84% / 47.17% / 4.68%
12/21 - 01/17 : 51.38% / 47.63% / 3.76%
12/28 - 01/24 : 50.40% / 48.48% / 1.92%
01/04 - 01/31 : 50.06% / 49.11% / 0.94%
The four week averages show a slight downward trend recently. This occurred during the end of December as well. We will need to monitor.
Interesting numbers.
So, when all of this data is put together, there appears to several things of note:
1. Approval by women has returned to the low 50% range.
2. Approval by independents is increasing.
3. Approval by men is low but it is increasing.
October 17th, 2009 at 2:18 pm
We all know this Boob is tanking. These posts are tedious.
October 17th, 2009 at 4:23 pm
Hondo,
An analysis needs to be thorough. You need to look at trends over time and be honest with that which you see.
You shouldn’t assume that the President is “tanking” without looking at numbers.
That is the reason that the analysis is as long as it is.
Frank
October 17th, 2009 at 4:31 pm
Well, thanks for the lecture. I’m sure you’re right. They are still Tedious.
October 17th, 2009 at 7:15 pm
These posts are wonderful! Thanks, Frank.
October 18th, 2009 at 4:17 am
Kristen,
My pleasure.
Frank
October 18th, 2009 at 10:09 am
obama’s approval has stabilized, just like the economy.
October 18th, 2009 at 3:58 pm
Tim,
I have developed a formula that can predict the President’s Job Approval based on Rasmussen’s polls of the Economy and National Security.
It’s actually quite fascinating. From that table, the approval for this week should be approximately 48.96%.
Let’s see how accurate it is.
Frank
October 18th, 2009 at 4:03 pm
Take the average of the previous 8 weeks of Obama on the Economy and Obama on National Security. Average the two numbers and add on the average of the difference of the last four economy vs approval weeks.
Weird, huh?
Frank
October 19th, 2009 at 6:01 pm
for us math challenged people, could you write down the formula with numbers in it?
October 19th, 2009 at 6:20 pm
The formula didn’t quite work out this week. My prediction was a wee bit too high.
You need the previous 8 weeks worth of data on Obama on the Economy and Obama on National Security and a calculator to do all of the work.
The formula was accurate to a tenth of a percentage point for three weeks in a row and then it was off by about 0.8% this week.
I will try to elaborate on another post.
Frank
October 19th, 2009 at 9:28 pm
Another problem for Barry left over from Bush and Fox News.
When will these whinners step up and take responsibilty? NEVER. It is always some else fault if you are a liberal.
October 20th, 2009 at 12:15 pm
47-52
October 20th, 2009 at 2:11 pm
Tim,
A HUGE outlier appeared.
We were due for one.
Frank
November 10th, 2009 at 6:24 pm
[...] Search Prev/Next Posts Previous | Home | Next Tuesday, November 10th, 2009 at 1:45 [...]
November 11th, 2009 at 9:31 am
The honeymoon has being over for a while now. I mean Americans aren’t that stupid not to see his faults. The following faults include exploding the deficit, having a failed stimulus,having a bad healthcare bill that nobody wants,taxing tobacco even though he smokes, and must I get into his failed crap and tax.
November 11th, 2009 at 1:00 pm
Frank,
I believe that Obama’s approval numbers will fall further based on these 5 factors:
1. He is going to be increasing the troop levels in Afghanistan- the progressives, will NOT like that.
2. He handles the Fort Hood terrorist attack quite poorly IMHO and questions arise how his national security team handled the foreknowledge that they did have on the possible dangers Hasan presented
3. Unemployment has climbed over the 10% mark, while the Obama administration is focused on health care and cap and trade. 80% of people are satisfied with their current health care. He comes across as trying to do too much at once. Fix the economy and jobs FIRST.- independents and conservatives not happy here
4. The more people learn about The Obama/ Pelosi Health Care Bill, the less they will like it- only progressives and SOME of those with no health insurance are pleased
5. Not going to Berlin to celebrate the fall of communism- independents and conservatives will not like that
November 11th, 2009 at 1:55 pm
Tim,
I agree with a lot of what you say. I think, however, that the most significant detail is the unemployment rate. That report appears to have affected “Obama on the Economy” and even “Obama on National Security.”
Democrats are going to support his positions regardless of the details. It will take much time for this support to decrease. It took five or six years for the republican support to fade for President Bush.
The democrats may decide to push hard for these bills because they see 1994 in the future. Gallup will spook them significantly. Who would have “thunk” it. A poll of adults showing a 48% to 44% republican lead of the generic ballot.
Frank