Right Pundits

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

Sep 08 - 09 : 27.08% / 16.74% / 11.85% / 41.31% / 3.02%
Sep 09 - 10 : 29.60% / 16.17% / 11.68% / 39.16% / 3.39%
Sep 10 - 11 : 31.21% / 15.92% / 10.32% / 38.59% / 3.96%
Sep 11 - 12 : 30.22% / 17.85% / 8.16% / 40.35% / 3.42%
Sep 12 - 13 : 28.29% / 22.76% / 8.28% / 38.14% / 2.53%
Sep 13 - 14 : 23.48% / 21.65% / 10.67% / 40.96% / 3.24%
Sep 14 - 15 : 22.53% / 19.46% / 10.82% / 44.24% / 2.95%
Sep 15 - 16 : 25.23% / 19.43% / 09.85% / 43.19% / 2.29%
Sep 24 - 25 : 23.23% / 18.28% / 12.74% / 43.08% / 2.67%
Oct 02 - 03 : 28.04% / 18.41% / 11.70% / 38.00% / 3.84%
Oct 10 - 11 : 23.49% / 21.11% / 11.49% / 39.10% / 4.81%
Oct 16 - 17 : 24.18% / 17.76% / 12.44% / 41.68% / 3.94%
Oct 24 - 25 : 22.52% / 21.95% / 11.36% / 40.07% / 4.10%
Oct 30 - 31 : 22.84% / 18.71% / 10.33% / 43.67% / 4.45%
Nov 07 - 08 : 24.69% / 19.96% / 10.38% / 41.65% / 3.32%
Nov 13 - 14 : 24.63% / 21.77% / 10.25% / 38.71% / 4.64%
Nov 21 - 22 : 21.42% / 17.27% / 12.56% / 43.03% / 5.72%
Nov 29 - 29 : 22.07% / 18.96% / 12.85% / 40.49% / 5.63%
Dec 04 - 05 : 23.38% / 18.04% / 11.23% / 40.48% / 6.87%
Dec 12 - 13 : 18.60% / 20.66% / 09.73% / 46.47% / 4.54%
Dec 18 - 19 : 18.88% / 21.89% / 09.89% / 44.62% / 4.72%
Dec 27 - 27 : 20.67% / 19.03% / 12.22% / 42.83% / 5.25%
Jan 03 - 03 : 22.21% / 19.55% / 08.67% / 42.74% / 6.83%
Jan 08 - 09 : 18.70% / 21.17% / 9.66% / 45.16% / 5.31%

Near record strongly oppose.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Overall)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 43.82% / 53.16% / -9.34%
Sep 09 - 10 : 45.77% / 50.84% / -5.07%
Sep 10 - 11 : 47.13% / 48.91% / -1.78%
Sep 11 - 12 : 48.07% / 48.51% / -0.44%
Sep 12 - 13 : 51.05% / 46.42% / 4.63%
Sep 13 - 14 : 45.13% / 51.63% / -6.50%
Sep 14 - 15 : 41.99% / 55.06% / -13.07%
Sep 15 - 16 : 44.66% / 51.90% / -7.24%
Sep 24 - 25 : 41.51% / 55.82% / -14.31%
Oct 02 - 03 : 46.45% / 49.70% / -3.25%
Oct 10 - 11 : 44.60% / 50.59% / -5.99%
Oct 16 - 17 : 41.94% / 54.12% / -12.18%
Oct 24 - 25 : 44.47% / 51.43% / -6.96%
Oct 30 - 31 : 41.55% / 54.00% / -12.45%
Nov 07 - 08 : 44.65% / 52.03% / -7.38%
Nov 13 - 14 : 46.40% / 48.96% / -2.56%
Nov 21 - 22 : 38.69% / 55.59% / -16.90%
Nov 29 - 29 : 41.03% / 53.34% / -12.31%
Dec 04 - 05 : 41.42% / 51.71% / -10.29%
Dec 12 - 13 : 39.26% / 56.20% / -16.94%
Dec 18 - 19 : 40.77% / 54.51% / -13.74%
Dec 27 - 27 : 39.70% / 55.05% / -15.35%
Jan 03 - 03 : 41.76% / 51.41% / -9.65%
Jan 08 - 09 : 39.87% / 54.82% / -14.95%

A return to the normal range.

Total oppose for healthcare reform appears to be in a range of 53% to 56%.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Overall, 4-survey avg)

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

Sep 12 - 16 : 24.88% / 20.83% / 9.91% / 41.63% / 2.76%
Sep 13 - 25 : 23.62% / 19.71% / 11.02% / 42.86% / 2.79%
9/14 - 10/03 : 24.76% / 18.90% / 11.28% / 42.13% / 2.94%
9/15 - 10/11 : 25.00% / 19.31% / 11.45% / 40.84% / 3.41%
9/24 - 10/17 : 24.74% / 18.89% / 12.09% / 40.47% / 3.82%
10/02 - 10/25 : 24.56% / 19.81% / 11.75% / 39.71% / 4.18%
10/10 - 10/31 : 23.26% / 19.88% / 11.41% / 41.13% / 4.33%
10/17 - 11/07 : 23.56% / 19.60% / 11.13% / 41.77% / 3.95%
10/24 - 11/14 : 23.67% / 20.60% / 10.58% / 41.03% / 4.13%
10/31 - 11/21 : 23.40% / 19.43% / 10.88% / 41.77% / 4.53%
11/07 - 11/29 : 23.20% / 19.49% / 11.51% / 40.97% / 4.83%
11/13 - 12/05 : 22.88% / 19.01% / 11.72% / 40.68% / 5.72%
11/20 - 12/13 : 21.37% / 18.73% / 11.59% / 42.62% / 5.69%
11/28 - 12/20 : 20.73% / 19.89% / 10.93% / 43.02% / 5.44%
12/04 - 12/27 : 20.38% / 19.91% / 10.77% / 43.60% / 5.35%
12/11 - 01/03 : 20.09% / 20.28% / 10.13% / 44.17% / 5.34%
12/18 - 01/09 : 20.12% / 20.41% / 10.11% / 43.84% / 5.53%

Very consistent numbers with some decrease in support (ever so slightly).





Healthcare Reform Plan (Overall, 4-survey avg)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 12 - 16 : 45.71% / 51.53% / -5.83%
Sep 13 - 25 : 43.32% / 53.88% / -10.56%
9/14 - 10/03 : 43.65% / 53.41% / -9.75%
9/15 - 10/11 : 44.31% / 52.29% / -7.98%
9/24 - 10/17 : 43.63% / 52.56% / -8.93%
10/02 - 10/25 : 44.37% / 51.46% / -7.10%
10/10 - 10/31 : 43.14% / 52.54% / -9.40%
10/17 - 11/07 : 43.15% / 52.90% / -9.74%
10/24 - 11/14 : 44.27% / 51.61% / -7.34%
10/31 - 11/21 : 42.82% / 52.65% / -9.82%
11/07 - 11/29 : 42.69% / 52.48% / -9.79%
11/13 - 12/06 : 41.89% / 52.40% / -10.52%
11/20 - 12/13 : 40.10% / 54.21% / -14.11%
11/28 - 12/20 : 40.62% / 53.94% / -13.32%
12/04 - 12/27 : 40.29% / 54.37% / -14.08%
12/11 - 01/03 : 40.37% / 54.29% / -13.92%
12/18 - 01/09 : 40.53% / 53.95% / -13.42%

Very consistent numbers, however total favor is decreasing.

Now the “favor index.”





Healthcare Reform Plan (Overall)

Time Span : Favor
Time Span : Index

Sep 08 - 09 : -14.23%
Sep 09 - 10 : -9.56%
Sep 10 - 11 : -7.38%
Sep 11 - 12 : -10.13%
Sep 12 - 13 : -9.85%
Sep 13 - 14 : -17.48%
Sep 14 - 15 : -21.71%
Sep 15 - 16 : -17.96%
Sep 16 - 17 : -19.88%
Sep 24 - 25 : -19.85%
Oct 02 - 03 : -9.96%
Oct 10 - 11 : -15.61%
Oct 16 - 17 : -17.50%
Oct 24 - 25 : -17.55%
Oct 30 - 31 : -20.83%
Nov 07 - 08 : -16.96%
Nov 13 - 14 : -14.08%
Nov 21 - 22 : -21.61%
Nov 29 - 29 : -18.42%
Dec 04 - 05 : -17.10%
Dec 12 - 13 : -27.87%
Dec 18 - 19 : -25.74%
Dec 27 - 27 : -22.16%
Jan 03 - 03 : -20.53%
Jan 08 - 09 : -26.46%

New territory. Negative low to mid 20% range.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Overall, 4-week)

Time Span : Favor
Time Span : Index

Sep 08 - 12 : -10.33%
Sep 09 - 13 : -9.23%
Sep 10 - 14 : -11.21%
Sep 11 - 15 : -14.79%
Sep 12 - 16 : -16.75%
Sep 13 - 17 : -19.26%
Sep 14 - 25 : -19.85%
Sep 15 - 03 : -16.91%
Sep 16 - 11 : -16.33%
Sep 24 - 18 : -15.73%
Oct 02 - 25 : -15.16%
Oct 10 - 31 : -17.87%
Oct 17 - 07 : -18.21%
Oct 24 - 14 : -17.36%
10/31 - 11/21 : -18.37%
11/07 - 11/29 : -17.77%
11/13 - 12/05 : -17.80%
11/20 - 12/13 : -21.25%
11/28 - 12/20 : -22.28%
12/04 - 12/27 : -23.22%
12/11 - 01/03 : -24.08%
12/18 - 01/09 : -23.72%

A continued lack of “strong” support and it’s decreasing.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Republican)

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

Sep 08 - 09 : 7.61% / 6.51% / 17.19% / 64.45% / 4.24%
Sep 09 - 10 : 7.36% / 6.14% / 17.35% / 66.34% / 2.81%
Sep 10 - 11 : 5.81% / 8.52% / 17.60% / 66.02% / 2.05%
Sep 11 - 12 : 9.43% / 8.09% / 13.29% / 65.90% / 3.29%
Sep 12 - 13 : 13.83% / 6.25% / 8.22% / 68.84% / 2.86%
Sep 13 - 14 : 12.13% / 7.49% / 9.30% / 66.84% / 4.24%
Sep 14 - 15 : 8.53% / 7.58% / 11.83% / 68.48% / 3.58%
Sep 15 - 16 : 5.60% / 6.20% / 14.62% / 71.74% / 1.84%
Sep 24 - 25 : 6.43% / 13.04% / 11.95% / 67.32% / 2.04%
Oct 02 - 03 : 7.02% / 10.43% / 13.03% / 66.90% / 2.62%
Oct 10 - 11 : 9.55% / 8.79% / 12.97% / 65.39% / 3.30%
Oct 16 - 17 : 6.32% / 3.92% / 12.16% / 74.66% / 2.94%
Oct 24 - 25 : 8.43% / 7.45% / 13.07% / 69.01% / 2.04%
Oct 30 - 31 : 6.32% / 9.74% / 9.69% / 69.64% / 4.61%
Nov 07 - 08 : 4.45% / 4.50% / 14.90% / 74.84% / 1.31%
Nov 13 - 14 : 9.87% / 8.00% / 13.78% / 64.33% / 4.02%
Nov 21 - 22 : 5.44% / 7.87% / 9.06% / 74.50% / 3.13%
Nov 29 - 29 : 5.33% / 9.97% / 9.85% / 67.13% / 7.72%
Dec 04 - 05 : 5.97% / 6.58% / 8.06% / 74.91% / 4.48%
Dec 12 - 13 : 5.80% / 10.54% / 7.15% / 74.08% / 2.43%
Dec 18 - 19 : 4.51% / 11.77% / 9.76% / 70.42% / 3.54%
Dec 27 - 27 : 7.52% / 2.86% / 13.24% / 68.68% / 7.70%
Jan 03 - 03 : 10.33% / 5.38% / 11.17% / 70.03% / 3.09%
Jan 08 - 09 : 5.60% / 7.94% / 8.13% / 74.61% / 3.72%

Fairly consistent numbers with some statistical noise.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Republican)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 14.12% / 81.64% / -67.52%
Sep 09 - 10 : 13.50% / 83.69% / -70.19%
Sep 10 - 11 : 14.33% / 83.62% / -69.29%
Sep 11 - 12 : 17.52% / 79.19% / -61.67%
Sep 12 - 13 : 20.08% / 77.06% / -56.98%
Sep 13 - 14 : 19.62% / 76.14% / -56.52%
Sep 14 - 15 : 16.11% / 80.31% / -64.20%
Sep 15 - 16 : 11.80% / 86.36% / -74.56%
Sep 24 - 25 : 19.47% / 79.27% / -59.80%
Oct 02 - 03 : 17.45% / 79.93% / -62.48%
Oct 10 - 11 : 18.34% / 78.36% / -60.02%
Oct 16 - 17 : 10.24% / 86.82% / -76.58%
Oct 24 - 25 : 15.88% / 82.08% / -66.20%
Oct 30 - 31 : 16.06% / 79.33% / -63.27%
Nov 07 - 08 : 8.95% / 89.74% / -80.79%
Nov 13 - 14 : 17.87% / 78.11% / -60.24%
Nov 21 - 22 : 13.31% / 83.56% / -70.25%
Nov 29 - 29 : 15.30% / 76.98% / -61.68%
Dec 04 - 05 : 12.55% / 82.97% / -70.42%
Dec 12 - 13 : 16.34% / 81.23% / -64.89%
Dec 18 - 19 : 16.28% / 80.18% / -63.90%
Dec 27 - 27 : 10.38% / 81.92% / -71.54%
Jan 03 - 03 : 15.71% / 81.20% / -65.49%
Jan 08 - 09 : 13.54% / 82.74% / -69.20%

It appears as if 13% - 17% is the normal range of support. Probable outlier in late December.

Every couple of weeks shows a large downward spike. Is this statistical noise? Probably. Very consistent downward spike, though.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Republican, 4-week)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

09/02 - 10/03 : 15.07% / 83.27% / -68.20%
09/16 - 10/11 : 16.71% / 81.27% / -64.57%
09/24 - 10/18 : 16.38% / 81.10% / -64.72%
10/02 - 10/25 : 15.48% / 81.80% / -66.32%
10/10 - 10/31 : 15.13% / 81.65% / -66.52%
10/17 - 11/07 : 12.78% / 84.49% / -71.71%
10/24 - 11/14 : 14.69% / 82.32% / -67.63%
10/31 - 11/21 : 14.05% / 82.69% / -68.64%
11/07 - 11/29 : 13.86% / 82.10% / -68.24%
11/13 - 12/05 : 14.76% / 80.41% / -65.65%
11/20 - 12/13 : 14.38% / 81.19% / -66.81%
11/28 - 12/20 : 15.12% / 80.34% / -65.22%
12/04 - 12/27 : 13.89% / 81.58% / -67.69%
12/11 - 01/03 : 14.68% / 81.13% / -66.46%
12/18 - 01/09 : 13.98% / 81.51% / -67.53%

Very consistent numbers with a downward trend.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Democrats)

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

Sep 08 - 09 : 44.12% / 27.89% / 9.15% / 15.92% / 2.92%
Sep 09 - 10 : 50.76% / 28.74% / 8.49% / 9.30% / 2.71%
Sep 10 - 11 : 58.51% / 25.12% / 5.67% / 8.91% / 1.79%
Sep 11 - 12 : 58.47% / 25.96% / 2.99% / 10.32% / 2.26%
Sep 12 - 13 : 48.40% / 33.85% / 5.52% / 10.33% / 1.90%
Sep 13 - 14 : 41.14% / 32.17% / 7.39% / 17.43% / 1.87%
Sep 14 - 15 : 41.87% / 31.64% / 6.31% / 17.02% / 3.16%
Sep 15 - 16 : 49.81% / 32.56% / 4.02% / 10.84% / 2.78%
Sep 24 - 25 : 46.74% / 28.36% / 7.64% / 13.16% / 4.10%
Oct 02 - 03 : 50.98% / 27.26% / 6.99% / 11.09% / 3.68%
Oct 10 - 11 : 44.41% / 29.67% / 7.91% / 11.37% / 6.64%
Oct 16 - 17 : 43.40% / 31.72% / 10.14% / 11.30% / 3.44%
Oct 24 - 25 : 40.10% / 38.19% / 7.55% / 7.85% / 6.31%
Oct 30 - 31 : 42.01% / 26.60% / 12.82% / 13.44% / 5.13%
Nov 07 - 08 : 50.75% / 29.68% / 6.41% / 8.18% / 4.98%
Nov 13 - 14 : 47.47% / 32.00% / 6.87% / 7.20% / 6.46%
Nov 21 - 22 : 41.89% / 31.05% / 8.76% / 11.88% / 6.42%
Nov 29 - 29 : 40.81% / 28.79% / 10.80% / 15.93% / 3.67%
Dec 04 - 05 : 41.08% / 30.54% / 4.85% / 12.41% / 11.12%
Dec 12 - 13 : 37.65% / 32.64% / 10.44% / 15.29% / 3.98%
Dec 18 - 19 : 38.20% / 30.35% / 7.75% / 17.44% / 6.26%
Dec 27 - 27 : 41.40% / 34.66% / 11.67% / 10.73% / 1.54%
Jan 03 - 03 : 38.09% / 34.63% / 5.29% / 14.54% / 7.45%
Jan 08 - 09 : 38.20% / 34.13% / 10.61% / 13.70% / 3.36%

A return the normal range.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Democrats)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 72.01% / 25.07% / 46.94%
Sep 09 - 10 : 79.50% / 17.79% / 61.71%
Sep 10 - 11 : 83.63% / 14.58% / 69.05%
Sep 11 - 12 : 84.43% / 13.31% / 71.12%
Sep 12 - 13 : 82.25% / 15.85% / 66.40%
Sep 13 - 14 : 73.31% / 24.82% / 48.49%
Sep 14 - 15 : 73.51% / 23.33% / 50.18%
Sep 15 - 16 : 82.37% / 14.86% / 67.51%
Sep 24 - 25 : 75.10% / 20.80% / 54.30%
Oct 02 - 03 : 78.24% / 18.08% / 60.16%
Oct 10 - 11 : 74.08% / 19.28% / 54.80%
Oct 16 - 17 : 75.12% / 21.44% / 53.68%
Oct 24 - 25 : 78.29% / 15.40% / 62.89%
Oct 30 - 31 : 68.61% / 26.26% / 42.35%
Nov 07 - 08 : 80.43% / 14.59% / 65.84%
Nov 13 - 14 : 79.47% / 14.07% / 65.40%
Nov 21 - 22 : 72.94% / 20.64% / 52.30%
Nov 29 - 29 : 69.60% / 26.73% / 42.87%
Dec 04 - 05 : 71.62% / 17.26% / 54.36%
Dec 12 - 13 : 70.29% / 25.73% / 44.56%
Dec 18 - 19 : 68.55% / 25.19% / 43.36%
Dec 27 - 27 : 76.06% / 22.40% / 53.66%
Jan 03 - 03 : 72.72% / 19.83% / 52.89%
Jan 08 - 09 : 72.33% / 24.31% / 48.02%

Consistent support levels for democrats with evidence that December 27 was an outlier.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Democrats, 4-week)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

09/02 - 10/03 : 78.77% / 17.93% / 60.84%
09/16 - 10/11 : 76.70% / 19.04% / 57.67%
09/24 - 10/18 : 75.64% / 19.90% / 55.74%
10/02 - 10/25 : 76.43% / 18.55% / 57.88%
10/10 - 10/31 : 74.03% / 20.60% / 53.43%
10/17 - 11/07 : 75.61% / 19.42% / 56.19%
10/24 - 11/14 : 76.70% / 17.58% / 59.12%
10/31 - 11/21 : 75.36% / 18.89% / 56.47%
11/07 - 11/29 : 75.61% / 19.01% / 56.60%
11/13 - 12/05 : 73.41% / 19.68% / 53.73%
11/20 - 12/13 : 71.11% / 22.59% / 48.52%
11/28 - 12/20 : 70.02% / 23.73% / 46.29%
12/04 - 12/27 : 71.63% / 22.65% / 48.99%
12/11 - 01/03 : 71.91% / 23.29% / 48.62%
12/18 - 01/09 : 72.42% / 22.93% / 49.48%

Consistent numbers, however this does demonstrate the slight weakening in support since November.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Independents)

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

Sep 08 - 09 : 26.42% / 13.48% / 9.39% / 48.95% / 1.76%
Sep 09 - 10 : 27.98% / 11.52% / 9.25% / 46.34% / 4.91%
Sep 10 - 11 : 24.43% / 12.30% / 8.07% / 46.20% / 9.00%
Sep 11 - 12 : 17.24% / 18.53% / 9.01% / 50.15% / 5.07%
Sep 12 - 13 : 19.29% / 27.74% / 11.89% / 38.14% / 2.94%
Sep 13 - 14 : 13.57% / 24.25% / 16.50% / 41.74% / 3.94%
Sep 14 - 15 : 13.60% / 17.39% / 15.50% / 51.56% / 1.95%
Sep 15 - 16 : 15.91% / 17.60% / 11.95% / 52.36% / 2.18%
Sep 24 - 25 : 13.86% / 11.93% / 20.07% / 51.57% / 2.57%
Oct 02 - 03 : 22.75% / 16.24% / 16.25% / 39.29% / 5.47%
Oct 10 - 11 : 13.22% / 24.22% / 14.24% / 44.07% / 4.25%
Oct 16 - 17 : 21.23% / 16.59% / 15.47% / 41.06% / 5.65%
Oct 24 - 25 : 16.79% / 18.29% / 14.11% / 47.14% / 3.67%
Oct 30 - 31 : 19.06% / 19.64% / 8.12% / 49.73% / 3.45%
Nov 07 - 08 : 13.87% / 24.57% / 10.47% / 47.67% / 3.42%
Nov 13 - 14 : 12.43% / 24.15% / 10.59% / 49.76% / 3.07%
Nov 21 - 22 : 12.66% / 9.92% / 21.20% / 48.62% / 7.60%
Nov 29 - 29 : 16.44% / 16.24% / 18.63% / 42.83% / 5.86%
Dec 04 - 05 : 19.72% / 14.55% / 22.65% / 39.00% / 4.08%
Dec 12 - 13 : 7.91% / 16.20% / 11.63% / 56.70% / 7.56%
Dec 18 - 19 : 10.08% / 22.21% / 12.77% / 50.91% / 4.03%
Dec 27 - 27 : 9.58% / 17.52% / 11.77% / 54.01% / 7.12%
Jan 03 - 03 : 14.94% / 15.76% / 10.27% / 48.93% / 10.10%
Jan 08 - 09 : 10.43% / 20.16% / 10.16% / 50.26% / 8.99%

A strong return to normal.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Independents)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 39.90% / 58.34% / -18.44%
Sep 09 - 10 : 39.50% / 55.59% / -16.09%
Sep 10 - 11 : 36.73% / 54.27% / -17.54%
Sep 11 - 12 : 35.77% / 59.16% / -23.39%
Sep 12 - 13 : 47.03% / 50.03% / -3.00%
Sep 13 - 14 : 37.82% / 58.24% / -20.42%
Sep 14 - 15 : 30.99% / 67.06% / -36.07%
Sep 15 - 16 : 33.51% / 64.31% / -30.80%
Sep 24 - 25 : 25.79% / 71.64% / -45.85%
Oct 02 - 03 : 38.99% / 55.54% / -16.55%
Oct 10 - 11 : 37.44% / 58.31% / -20.87%
Oct 16 - 17 : 37.82% / 56.53% / -18.71%
Oct 24 - 25 : 35.08% / 61.25% / -26.17%
Oct 30 - 31 : 38.70% / 57.85% / -19.15%
Nov 07 - 08 : 38.44% / 58.14% / -19.70%
Nov 13 - 14 : 36.58% / 60.35% / -23.77%
Nov 21 - 22 : 22.58% / 69.82% / -47.24%
Nov 29 - 29 : 32.68% / 61.46% / -28.78%
Dec 04 - 05 : 34.27% / 61.65% / -27.38%
Dec 12 - 13 : 24.11% / 68.33% / -44.22%
Dec 18 - 19 : 32.29% / 63.68% / -31.39%
Dec 27 - 27 : 27.10% / 65.78% / -38.68%
Jan 03 - 03 : 30.70% / 59.20% / -28.50%
Jan 08 - 09 : 30.59% / 60.42% / -29.83%

30% sounds just about right.

Healthcare Reform Plan (Independents, 4-day)

Time Span : Strongly / Somewhat / Somewhat / Strongly / Not Sure
Time Span : ..Favor.. / ..Favor.. / ..Oppose.. / Oppose / Not Sure

09/12 - 09/16 : 15.59% / 21.75% / 13.96% / 45.95% / 2.75%
09/13 - 09/25 : 14.24% / 17.79% / 16.01% / 49.31% / 2.66%
09/14 - 10/03 : 16.53% / 15.79% / 15.94% / 48.70% / 3.04%
09/15 - 10/11 : 16.44% / 17.50% / 15.63% / 46.82% / 3.62%
09/24 - 10/17 : 17.77% / 17.25% / 16.51% / 44.00% / 4.49%
10/02 - 10/25 : 18.50% / 18.84% / 15.02% / 42.89% / 4.76%
10/10 - 10/31 : 17.58% / 19.69% / 12.99% / 45.50% / 4.25%
10/17 - 11/07 : 17.74% / 19.77% / 12.04% / 46.40% / 4.05%
10/24 - 11/14 : 15.54% / 21.66% / 10.82% / 48.58% / 3.40%
10/31 - 11/21 : 14.51% / 19.57% / 12.60% / 48.95% / 4.38%
11/07 - 11/29 : 13.85% / 18.72% / 15.22% / 47.22% / 4.99%
11/13 - 12/05 : 15.31% / 16.22% / 18.27% / 45.05% / 5.15%
11/20 - 12/13 : 14.18% / 14.23% / 18.53% / 46.79% / 6.28%
11/28 - 12/20 : 13.54% / 17.30% / 16.42% / 47.36% / 5.38%
12/04 - 12/27 : 11.82% / 17.62% / 14.71% / 50.16% / 5.70%
12/11 - 01/03 : 10.63% / 17.92% / 11.61% / 52.64% / 7.20%
12/18 - 01/09 : 11.26% / 18.91% / 11.24% / 51.03% / 7.56%

Consistent numbers, all within the MOE but there is a slight downward trend. Strong opposition is increasing.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Independents, 4-day)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

09/12 - 09/16 : 37.34% / 59.91% / -22.57%
09/13 - 09/25 : 32.03% / 65.31% / -33.29%
09/14 - 10/03 : 32.32% / 64.64% / -32.32%
09/15 - 10/11 : 33.93% / 62.45% / -28.52%
09/24 - 10/17 : 35.01% / 60.51% / -25.50%
10/02 - 10/25 : 37.33% / 57.91% / -20.58%
10/10 - 10/31 : 37.26% / 58.49% / -21.23%
10/17 - 11/07 : 37.51% / 58.44% / -20.93%
10/24 - 11/14 : 37.20% / 59.40% / -22.20%
10/31 - 11/21 : 34.08% / 61.54% / -27.47%
11/07 - 11/28 : 32.57% / 62.44% / -29.87%
11/13 - 12/05 : 31.53% / 63.32% / -31.79%
11/20 - 12/13 : 28.41% / 65.32% / -36.91%
11/28 - 12/20 : 30.84% / 63.78% / -32.94%
12/04 - 12/27 : 29.44% / 64.86% / -35.42%
12/11 - 01/03 : 28.55% / 64.25% / -35.70%
12/18 - 01/09 : 30.17% / 62.27% / -32.10%

A return to normal.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Men)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 37.51% / 59.68% / -22.17%
Sep 09 - 10 : 41.59% / 56.20% / -14.61%
Sep 10 - 11 : 42.68% / 55.13% / -12.45%
Sep 11 - 12 : 41.68% / 55.21% / -13.53%
Sep 12 - 13 : 43.41% / 53.03% / -9.62%
Sep 13 - 14 : 42.27% / 53.73% / -11.46%
Sep 14 - 15 : 42.19% / 55.37% / -13.18%
Sep 15 - 16 : 44.39% / 53.37% / -8.98%
Sep 24 - 25 : 38.46% / 59.50% / -21.04%
Oct 02 - 03 : 44.40% / 52.19% / -7.79%
Oct 10 - 11 : 42.16% / 54.45% / -12.29%
Oct 16 - 17 : 41.09% / 54.31% / -13.22%
Oct 24 - 25 : 45.04% / 52.95% / -7.91%
Oct 30 - 31 : 41.94% / 54.87% / -12.93%
Nov 07 - 08 : 38.06% / 59.79% / -21.73%
Nov 13 - 14 : 43.89% / 54.03% / -10.14%
Nov 21 - 22 : 33.46% / 60.59% / -27.13%
Nov 29 - 29 : 38.06% / 59.10% / -21.04%
Dec 04 - 05 : 42.53% / 52.19% / -9.66%
Dec 11 - 12 : 39.58% / 58.38% / -18.80%
Dec 18 - 19 : 36.81% / 60.00% / -23.19%
Dec 27 - 27 : 33.83% / 61.91% / -28.08%
Jan 03 - 03 : 40.78% / 56.61% / -15.83%
Jan 08 - 09 : 36.95% / 59.77% / -22.82%

Consistently in the high 30% to low 40% range.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Men, 4-day)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 12 : 40.87% / 56.56% / -15.69%
Sep 09 - 13 : 42.34% / 54.89% / -12.55%
Sep 10 - 14 : 42.51% / 54.28% / -11.77%
Sep 11 - 15 : 42.39% / 54.34% / -11.95%
Sep 12 - 16 : 43.07% / 53.88% / -10.81%
Sep 13 - 25 : 41.83% / 55.49% / -13.67%
9/14 - 10/03 : 42.36% / 55.11% / -12.75%
9/15 - 10/11 : 42.35% / 54.88% / -12.53%
9/24 - 10/17 : 41.53% / 55.11% / -13.59%
10/02 - 10/24 : 43.17% / 53.48% / -10.30%
10/10 - 10/31 : 42.56% / 54.15% / -11.59%
10/17 - 11/08 : 41.53% / 55.48% / -13.95%
10/24 - 11/15 : 42.23% / 55.41% / -13.18%
10/31 - 11/22 : 39.34% / 57.32% / -17.98%
11/07 - 11/29 : 38.37% / 58.38% / -20.01%
11/14 - 12/06 : 39.49% / 56.48% / -16.99%
11/21 - 12/13 : 38.41% / 57.57% / -19.16%
11/28 - 12/20 : 39.25% / 57.42% / -18.17%
12/04 - 12/27 : 38.19% / 58.12% / -19.93%
12/11 - 01/03 : 37.75% / 59.23% / -21.48%
12/18 - 01/09 : 37.09% / 59.57% / -22.48%

Strong evidence that men favor is in the high 30% range and that opposition is rising into the very high 50% range.





Healthcare Reform Plan (Women)

Time Span : Total / ..Total.. / Difference
Time Span : Favor / Oppose / Difference

Sep 08 - 09 : 49.26% / 47.53% / 1.73%
Sep 09 - 10 : 49.67% / 45.85% / 3.82%
Sep 10 - 11 : 51.21% / 43.20% / 8.01%
Sep 11 - 12 : 53.38% / 42.95% / 10.43%
Sep 12 - 13 : 57.31% / 41.01% / 16.30%
Sep 13 - 14 : 47.61% / 49.75% / -2.14%
Sep 14 - 15 : 41.82% / 54.79% / -12.97%
Sep 15 - 16 : 44.90% / 52.75% / -7.85%
Sep 24 - 25 : 44.07% / 52.74% / -8.67%
Oct 02 - 03 : 48.37% / 47.39% / 0.98%
Oct 10 - 11 : 46.84% / 47.03% / -0.19%
Oct 16 - 17 : 42.68% / 53.96% / -11.28%
Oct 24 - 25 : 43.93% / 49.98% / -6.05%
Oct 30 - 31 : 41.22% / 53.22% / -12.00%
Nov 07 - 08 : 50.10% / 51.98% / -1.88%
Nov 13 - 14 : 48.57% / 44.56% / 4.01%
Nov 21 - 22 : 43.20% / 51.29% / -8.09%
Nov 29 - 29 : 43.58% / 48.40% / -4.82%
Dec 04 - 05 : 40.45% / 51.27% / -10.82%
Dec 11 - 12 : 38.98% / 54.23% / -15.25%
Dec 18 - 19 : 44.45% / 49.41% / -4.96%
Dec 27 - 27 : 44.84% / 49.04% / -4.20%
Jan 03 - 03 : 42.57% / 47.10% / -4.53%
Jan 08 - 09 : 42.49% / 50.39% / -7.90%

More evidence of a weakening in support.

SO …

Republican support is in the 12% to 16% range.

Two-thirds of the nation clearly dislikes the plan. Will democrats risk losing their seat with a vote against the public will?