There is continued stability today with “job approval.”
The nicest part of doing this job is when my thoughts are confirmed by data from other sources. The data from Fox News, Quinnipiac and PPP clearly confirms the downward trends within the data.
We have several new records.
1. All-time low for the 30-day trend for the “approval index” … -10.75% !!!!!!
2. All-time low for the 30-day trend for overall approval for men … 43.74% !!!!!!
3. All-time low for the 30-day trend for overall approval index for men … -11.68% !!!!!!
4. Third time that the 30-day trend for overall approval for men has been less than 44%!!!!!!
You may access this data via the links below.
This page on political polls and analysis will be updated daily so bookmark it and return frequently for updated information. The data will grow over time to include sections on key 2010 Senate race polls, 2012 presidential polls, and the data you see today.
What we have now is an analysis of Rasmussen data as it pertains to Barack Obama’s job approval rating on a 3-day basis and on a 7-day basis, public opinion of his performance on the Economy and National Security, healthcare weekly updates, the generic congressional ballot, trust on the issues on ten issues and trust on the issues regarding healthcare alone.
Recent updates are highlighted in red.
| Analysis of Rasmussen Polls | |
|---|---|
| Last Update | Poll Data and Analysis |
| 11/21/09 | President Obama, Daily Approval Rating |
| 11/19/09 | President Obama on National Security |
| 11/19/09 | President Obama on the Economy |
| 10/20/09 | Democrats vs. Republican on Health-Care |
| 11/16/09 | Heath-Care Public Opinion Tracking |
| 11/18/09 | Congressional Polls - Generic Ballot |
| 10/20/09 | Trust on the Issues |
| 11/18/09 | Weekly Job Approval, Honeymoon Over? |
August 24th, 2009 at 4:19 pm
Frank,
I really like this format. You are doing an awesome job with this.
August 24th, 2009 at 4:22 pm
Most of it was McCain’s idea. He’s the man who gave me the opportunity.
Frank
August 24th, 2009 at 4:26 pm
McCain’s a good egg for someone from the Bay area. He and Tina represent 50% of the non-liberal caucus in the entire region.
August 24th, 2009 at 5:37 pm
I really like this format, too! It’s less traumatizing to those of us that break out in hives when we see numbers :-p
August 25th, 2009 at 9:15 am
Nice Jo! I’m one that breaks out in hives as well but Frank is doing a great job easing me into these scary numbers.
August 25th, 2009 at 9:22 pm
Obama is only a temporary glitch in the forward march of the Conservative Right, which is destined to take over the world.
“The Planets,” First Movement. Onward Christian Soldiers. Onward Razzmuzzen, until the end of time….
August 27th, 2009 at 6:19 pm
Obama is slowly eroding his own base by showing the liberal, moderate and conservative parts of the Democrat Party what it is like to work for a leftist.
August 30th, 2009 at 7:13 am
Thanks Frank
August 30th, 2009 at 7:14 am
MD,
Guess who got banned from the HHR? LOL
August 30th, 2009 at 8:59 am
who? did you get banned again, eph? tsk tsk.
August 30th, 2009 at 11:03 am
Frank so how far down do you think obama’s numbers will go. Do you think he’ll hit the 20s or 30s, because if you ask me that’s what’s going to happen.
August 30th, 2009 at 12:30 pm
Charles,
For the President to get his job approval into the low 40’s, he will need some help from the self-identified democrats.
Basically speaking, think of it this way:
(Republican + Democratic)/2
Add 3 or 4 percent.
This is where you start. Currently it’s about 52%.
D = 81%
R = 18%
Take difference between the independent percentage and the 52% above. Divide by three. Subtract from 52%. This is approximately the job approval.
This is a very rough sketch.
Republican support for the 30-day average is around 18%.
Democratic support for the 30-day average is around 81%.
Independents support is drifting down. Currently (the numbers are at http://www.rightpundits.com ) it’s around 40%.
Last night, independents are 33%. This is what’s caused the percentage to go down.
So, if R goes down to 14%
and D goes down to 77%
you are starting at 48% or 49%.
If indies stay at 35%, then take away 4 or 5% from 48 or 49%
This gives you a realistic job approval number of 44% - 45%.
Keep an eye on the democrats. If they consistently reach the low to mid 70’s and the republicans consistently reach 15%, and the indies stay in the low to mid 30’s, then maybe low 40’s is reasonable.
Frank
August 30th, 2009 at 12:33 pm
Charles,
Pardon my stupidity. I thought that I was posting at Hedgehog. You are already at rightpundits.
Duh.
Frank
August 30th, 2009 at 4:15 pm
Frank:
No problem man.
Thanks!
August 30th, 2009 at 4:45 pm
So is 47.4% a new low?
August 30th, 2009 at 5:06 pm
Eph,
I honestly can’t remember. There was a time in July when his approval was 47% rounded off. I just can’t remember.
Check the post to confirm. I have all of the days back to July 24th.
Frank
August 30th, 2009 at 5:13 pm
Eph,
Yes, it is.
I just checked my spreadsheet and the previous low was 47.45% a couple weeks ago.
BTW, the new party benchmarks are going to go into affect on Tuesday. Unless there was a large spike of self-identified democrats, the percentages should change in favor of the republicans and away from the democrats.
Frank
August 30th, 2009 at 5:14 pm
effect.
oops
Frank
August 31st, 2009 at 7:01 am
45.6% approval today.
More details in several hours.
Frank
September 1st, 2009 at 11:20 am
Frank,
Has RAS adjusted his partisan breakdown for this month (sept) ??
September 1st, 2009 at 11:36 am
obama is down to 45% (according to rasmussen) despite a slobbering media.
September 1st, 2009 at 12:37 pm
Kate,
The media is slobbering less.
Frank
September 1st, 2009 at 12:38 pm
Eph,
I think that it will go into affect tomorrow. Check the last paragraph or two within his article to see if they match the percentages above.
Frank
September 2nd, 2009 at 1:56 pm
It all depends on how you are effected by politions
September 3rd, 2009 at 2:15 pm
Wow, MD! Are you actually serious in saying the number of non-liberals in San Francisco has ballooned to four! Will miracles never cease?!