Right Pundits

Obama on the National Security (Overall)

Time Span : Exc & Good / Fair & Poor / Difference

01/19 – 01/20/09 : 55.00% / 39.00% / 16.00%
01/27 – 01/28/09 : 50.00% / 46.00% / 4.00%
02/02 – 02/03/09 : 55.06% / 42.49% / 12.57%
02/10 – 02/11/09 : 56.30% / 41.18% / 15.12%
02/18 – 02/19/09 : 52.03% / 45.55% / 6.48%
03/02 – 03/03/09 : 54.73% / 43.37% / 11.36%
03/10 – 03/11/09 : 52.10% / 46.13% / 5.97%
03/16 – 03/17/09 : 47.45% / 50.07% / -2.62%
03/24 – 03/25/09 : 48.64% / 48.58% / 0.06%
03/30 – 03/31/09 : 54.18% / 44.20% / 9.98%
04/07 – 04/08/09 : 50.67% / 46.88% / 3.79%
04/13 – 04/14/09 : 46.56% / 51.69% / -5.13%
04/21 – 04/22/09 : 49.39% / 49.04% / 0.35%
04/27 – 04/28/09 : 50.37% / 48.33% / 2.04%
05/05 – 05/06/09 : 52.38% / 46.02% / 6.36%
05/12 – 05/13/09 : 53.04% / 45.99% / 7.05%
05/20 – 05/21/09 : 48.90% / 49.08% / -0.18%
05/26 – 05/27/09 : 47.70% / 50.31% / -2.61%
06/01 – 06/02/09 : 49.66% / 48.88% / 0.78%
06/09 – 06/10/09 : 45.77% / 52.68% / -6.91%
06/15 – 06/16/09 : 47.70% / 50.89% / -3.19%
06/23 – 06/24/09 : 46.94% / 50.65% / -3.71%
06/29 – 06/30/09 : 43.92% / 55.21% / -11.29%
07/06 – 07/07/09 : 41.87% / 57.21% / -15.34%
07/14 – 07/15/09 : 42.13% / 56.69% / -14.56%
07/20 – 07/21/09 : 49.24% / 49.43% / -0.19%
07/27 – 07/28/09 : 41.31% / 56.57% / -15.26%
08/03 – 08/04/09 : 43.14% / 55.96% / -12.82%
08/10 – 08/11/09 : 45.18% / 53.99% / -8.81%
08/17 – 08/18/09 : 43.84% / 54.21% / -10.37%
08/25 – 08/26/09 : 45.23% / 53.73% / -8.50%
08/31 – 09/01/09 : 40.57% / 58.01% / -17.44%
09/08 – 09/09/09 : 44.83% / 54.30% / -9.47%
09/14 – 09/15/09 : 41.98% / 56.62% / -14.64%
09/22 – 09/23/09 : 47.32% / 51.63% / -4.31%
09/28 – 09/29/09 : 42.06% / 56.78% / -14.72%
10/06 – 10/07/09 : 42.83% / 55.48% / -12.65%
10/12 – 10/13/09 : 43.16% / 54.91% / -11.75%
10/20 – 10/21/09 : 44.42% / 54.81% / -10.39%
10/26 – 10/27/09 : 44.49% / 54.68% / -10.19%
11/03 – 11/04/09 : 45.98% / 53.06% / -7.08%
11/09 – 11/10/09 : 42.01% / 55.73% / -13.72%
11/17 – 11/18/09 : 39.23% / 59.84% / -20.61%
11/23 – 11/23/09 : 42.36% / 56.66% / -14.30%
11/30 – 12/01/09 : 39.43% / 59.12% / -19.69%
12/08 – 12/09/09 : 38.64% / 59.22% / -20.58%
12/16 – 12/17/09 : 36.22% / 62.23% / -26.01%
12/22 – 12/23/09 : 40.22% / 59.09% / -18.87%
12/28 – 12/28/09 : 38.51% / 60.71% / -22.20%
01/04 – 01/05/10 : 40.57% / 59.04% / -18.47%
01/12 – 01/13/10 : 39.18% / 59.87% / -20.69%
01/19 – 01/20/10 : 42.11% / 56.57% / -14.46%
01/24 – 01/25/10 : 40.35% / 58.95% / -18.60%
02/02 – 02/03/10 : 43.32% / 55.18% / -11.86%
02/09 – 02/10/10 : 40.29% / 58.74% / -18.45%
02/16 – 02/17/10 : 44.84% / 54.74% / -9.90%
03/01 – 03/02/10 : 44.93% / 54.05% / -9.12%
03/09 – 03/10/10 : 40.64% / 56.93% / -16.29%
03/15 – 03/16/10 : 40.46% / 59.04% / -18.58%
03/29 – 03/30/30 : 45.34% / 53.78% / -8.44%
04/06 – 04/07/10 : 42.81% / 56.64% / -13.83%
04/12 – 04/13/10 : 44.68% / 54.88% / -10.20%
04/20 – 04/21/10 : 45.69% / 53.65% / -7.96%
05/04 – 05/05/10 : 42.74% / 55.48% / -12.74%
05/11 – 05/11/10 : 42.36% / 56.95% / -14.59%
05/18 – 05/19/10 : 43.83% / 54.55% / -10.72%
05/24 – 05/25/10 : 40.10% / 59.47% / -19.37%
06/01 – 06/02/10 : 40.16% / 58.85% / -18.69%
06/07 – 06/08/10 : 41.85% / 56.06% / -14.21%
06/13 – 06/14/10 : 38.23% / 60.86% / -22.63%
06/21 – 06/22/10 : 44.14% / 55.12% / -10.98%
06/27 – 06/28/10 : 37.20% / 62.52% / -25.32%
07/06 – 07/07/10 : 38.81% / 60.88% / -22.07%
07/12 – 07/13/10 : 39.11% / 60.43% / -21.32%
07/20 – 07/21/10 : 39.36% / 59.54% / -20.18%
07/28 – 07/29/10 : 38.66% / 60.01% / -21.35%
08/05 – 08/06/10 : 44.09% / 55.55% / -11.46%
08/11 – 08/12/10 : 41.38% / 57.79% / -16.41%

Approval on the National Security appears to be fluctuating within the MOE. The excellent & good category appears to be somewhere in the high 30% to low 40% range.

Obama on the National Security (Overall, 4-week trends)

Time Span : Exc & Good / Fair & Poor / Difference

08/03 – 08/26/09 : 44.35% / 54.47% / -10.13%
08/10 – 09/01/09 : 43.71% / 54.99% / -11.28%
08/17 – 09/09/09 : 43.62% / 55.06% / -11.45%
08/25 – 09/15/09 : 43.15% / 55.67% / -12.51%
08/31 – 09/22/09 : 43.68% / 55.14% / -11.47%
09/08 – 09/29/09 : 44.05% / 54.83% / -10.79%
09/15 – 10/06/09 : 43.55% / 55.13% / -11.58%
09/21 – 10/13/09 : 43.84% / 54.70% / -10.86%
09/28 – 10/21/09 : 43.12% / 55.50% / -12.38%
10/06 – 10/28/09 : 43.73% / 54.97% / -11.25%
10/12 – 11/04/09 : 44.51% / 54.37% / -9.85%
10/19 – 11/10/09 : 44.23% / 54.57% / -10.35%
10/26 – 11/18/09 : 42.93% / 55.83% / -12.90%
11/03 – 11/25/09 : 42.40% / 56.32% / -13.93%
11/09 – 12/02/09 : 40.76% / 57.84% / -17.08%
11/17 – 12/09/09 : 39.92% / 58.71% / -18.80%
11/24 – 12/16/09 : 39.16% / 59.31% / -20.15%
12/01 – 12/23/09 : 38.63% / 59.92% / -21.29%
12/08 – 12/30/09 : 38.40% / 60.31% / -21.92%
12/16 – 01/06/10 : 38.88% / 60.27% / -21.39%
12/22 – 01/13/10 : 39.62% / 59.68% / -20.06%
12/28 – 01/20/10 : 40.09% / 59.05% / -18.96%
01/04 – 01/25/10 : 40.55% / 58.61% / -18.06%
01/12 – 02/03/10 : 41.24% / 57.64% / -16.40%
01/19 – 02/10/10 : 41.52% / 57.36% / -15.84%
01/26 – 02/17/10 : 42.20% / 56.90% / -14.70%
02/02 – 03/02/10 : 43.35% / 55.68% / -12.33%
02/09 – 03/09/10 : 42.68% / 56.12% / -13.44%
02/16 – 03/16/10 : 42.72% / 56.19% / -13.47%
03/01 – 03/30/10 : 42.84% / 55.95% / -13.11%
03/08 – 04/06/10 : 42.31% / 56.60% / -14.29%
03/15 – 04/13/10 : 43.32% / 56.09% / -12.76%
03/29 – 04/21/10 : 44.63% / 54.74% / -10.11%
04/06 – 05/05/10 : 43.98% / 55.16% / -11.18%
04/12 – 05/11/10 : 43.87% / 55.24% / -11.37%
04/20 – 05/19/10 : 43.66% / 55.16% / -11.50%
05/04 – 05/25/10 : 42.26% / 56.61% / -14.36%
05/11 – 06/02/10 : 41.61% / 57.46% / -15.84%
05/18 – 06/08/10 : 41.49% / 57.23% / -15.75%
05/24 – 06/14/10 : 40.09% / 58.81% / -18.73%
06/01 – 06/22/10 : 41.10% / 57.72% / -16.63%
06/07 – 06/28/10 : 40.36% / 58.64% / -18.29%
06/13 – 07/07/10 : 39.60% / 59.85% / -20.25%
06/21 – 07/13/10 : 39.82% / 59.74% / -19.92%
06/27 – 07/21/10 : 38.62% / 60.84% / -22.22%
07/06 – 07/29/10 : 38.99% / 60.22% / -21.23%
07/12 – 08/06/10 : 40.31% / 58.88% / -18.58%
07/20 – 08/12/10 : 40.87% / 58.22% / -17.35%

A probable outlier among women has skewed the data. Let’s monitor.

Obama on National Security (Independents)

Time Span : Exc & Good / Fair & Poor / Difference

01/19 – 01/20/09 : 49.00% / 45.00% / 4.00%
01/27 – 01/28/09 : 38.00% / 55.00% / -17.00%
02/02 – 02/03/09 : 52.00% / 45.00% / 7.00%
02/10 – 02/11/09 : 45.00% / 52.00% / -7.00%
02/18 – 02/19/09 : 47.00% / 48.00% / -1.00%
03/02 – 03/03/09 : 48.70% / 49.42% / -0.72%
03/10 – 03/11/09 : 43.86% / 52.92% / -9.06%
03/16 – 03/17/09 : 50.36% / 46.84% / 3.52%
03/24 – 03/25/09 : 36.96% / 59.76% / -22.80%
03/30 – 03/31/09 : 47.99% / 49.32% / -1.33%
04/07 – 04/08/09 : 45.03% / 50.88% / -5.85%
04/13 – 04/14/09 : 36.45% / 61.01% / -24.56%
04/21 – 04/22/09 : 37.43% / 60.17% / -22.74%
04/27 – 04/28/09 : 36.62% / 60.68% / -24.06%
05/05 – 05/06/09 : 44.36% / 54.39% / -10.03%
05/12 – 05/13/09 : 45.36% / 53.45% / -8.09%
05/20 – 05/21/09 : 37.29% / 61.86% / -24.57%
05/26 – 05/27/09 : 37.77% / 60.22% / -22.45%
06/01 – 06/02/09 : 40.50% / 56.78% / -16.28%
06/09 – 06/10/09 : 35.44% / 61.32% / -25.88%
06/15 – 06/16/09 : 33.98% / 63.22% / -29.24%
06/23 – 06/24/09 : 43.35% / 49.88% / -6.53%
06/29 – 06/30/09 : 31.20% / 68.27% / -37.07%
07/06 – 07/07/09 : 28.05% / 71.36% / -43.31%
07/14 – 07/15/09 : 27.69% / 69.61% / -41.92%
07/20 – 07/21/09 : 44.93% / 53.41% / -8.48%
07/27 – 07/28/09 : 32.06% / 65.52% / -33.46%
08/03 – 08/04/09 : 31.85% / 68.07% / -36.22%
08/10 – 08/11/09 : 33.45% / 65.23% / -31.78%
08/17 – 08/18/09 : 31.14% / 63.62% / -32.48%
08/25 – 08/26/09 : 35.42% / 62.88% / -27.46%
08/31 – 09/01/09 : 26.53% / 70.87% / -44.34%
09/08 – 09/09/09 : 40.58% / 58.62% / -18.04%
09/14 – 09/15/09 : 25.80% / 71.45% / -45.65%
09/22 – 09/23/09 : 33.43% / 64.55% / -31.12%
09/28 – 09/29/09 : 35.19% / 64.08% / -28.89%
10/06 – 10/07/09 : 35.16% / 62.39% / -27.23%
10/12 – 10/13/09 : 26.62% / 68.75% / -42.13%
10/20 – 10/21/09 : 33.38% / 65.91% / -32.53%
10/26 – 10/27/09 : 36.62% / 61.30% / -24.68%
11/03 – 11/04/09 : 36.46% / 62.04% / -25.58%
11/09 – 11/10/09 : 30.76% / 67.04% / -36.28%
11/17 – 11/18/09 : 34.70% / 63.64% / -28.94%
11/23 – 11/23/09 : 30.82% / 68.47% / -37.65%
12/01 – 12/02/09 : 30.27% / 69.33% / -39.06%
12/08 – 12/09/09 : 29.08% / 67.94% / -38.86%
12/15 – 12/16/09 : 31.84% / 67.94% / -36.10%
12/22 – 12/23/09 : 27.56% / 71.65% / -44.09%
12/28 – 12/28/09 : 26.55% / 72.18% / -45.63%
01/04 – 01/05/10 : 38.03% / 61.97% / -23.94%
01/12 – 01/13/10 : 34.64% / 64.26% / -29.62%
01/19 – 01/20/10 : 36.59% / 60.72% / -24.13%
01/24 – 01/25/10 : 32.63% / 65.83% / -33.20%
02/02 – 02/03/10 : 40.05% / 57.93% / -17.88%
02/09 – 02/10/10 : 32.73% / 66.00% / -33.27%
02/16 – 02/17/10 : 39.10% / 60.24% / -21.14%
03/01 – 03/02/10 : 34.78% / 63.09% / -28.31%
03/09 – 03/10/10 : 32.46% / 65.44% / -32.98%
03/15 – 03/16/10 : 41.94% / 57.88% / -15.94%
03/29 – 03/30/10 : 40.37% / 58.88% / -18.51%
04/06 – 04/07/10 : 38.07% / 61.60% / -23.53%
04/12 – 04/13/10 : 36.39% / 63.02% / -26.63%
04/20 – 04/21/10 : 51.18% / 47.93% / 3.25%
05/04 – 05/05/10 : 33.58% / 65.98% / -32.40%
05/11 – 05/11/10 : 27.50% / 71.20% / -43.70%
05/18 – 05/19/10 : 34.34% / 63.68% / -29.34%
05/24 – 05/25/10 : 30.60% / 68.85% / -38.25%
06/01 – 06/02/10 : 33.14% / 66.12% / -32.98%
06/07 – 06/08/10 : 34.59% / 62.71% / -28.12%
06/13 – 06/14/10 : 24.60% / 74.80% / -50.20%
06/21 – 06/22/10 : 42.19% / 56.69% / -14.50%
06/27 – 06/28/10 : 21.26% / 78.70% / -57.44%
07/06 – 07/07/10 : 36.61% / 63.39% / -26.78%
07/12 – 07/13/10 : 28.80% / 70.26% / -41.46%
07/20 – 07/21/10 : 32.71% / 65.74% / -33.03%
07/28 – 07/29/10 : 23.68% / 76.32% / -52.64%
08/05 – 08/06/10 : 40.48% / 59.44% / -18.96%
08/11 – 08/12/10 : 30.53% / 68.85% / -38.32%

Last week was truly an outlier. From this data it is hard to tell what is the actual range for approval.





Obama on the National Security (Independents, 4-week trends)

Time Span : Exc & Good / Fair & Poor / Difference

08/03 – 08/26/09 : 32.97% / 64.95% / -31.99%
08/10 – 09/01/09 : 31.64% / 65.65% / -34.02%
08/17 – 09/09/09 : 33.42% / 64.00% / -30.58%
08/25 – 09/15/09 : 32.08% / 65.96% / -33.87%
08/31 – 09/23/09 : 31.59% / 66.37% / -34.78%
09/08 – 09/29/09 : 33.75% / 64.68% / -30.93%
09/15 – 10/06/09 : 32.40% / 65.62% / -33.22%
09/21 – 10/13/09 : 32.60% / 64.94% / -32.34%
09/28 – 10/21/09 : 32.59% / 65.28% / -32.70%
10/06 – 10/28/09 : 32.95% / 64.59% / -31.64%
10/12 – 11/04/09 : 33.27% / 64.50% / -31.23%
10/19 – 11/10/09 : 34.31% / 64.07% / -29.77%
10/26 – 11/18/09 : 34.64% / 63.51% / -28.87%
11/03 – 11/23/09 : 33.19% / 65.30% / -32.11%
11/09 – 12/02/09 : 31.64% / 67.12% / -35.48%
11/17 – 12/09/09 : 31.22% / 67.35% / -36.13%
11/24 – 12/16/09 : 30.50% / 68.42% / -37.92%
12/01 – 12/23/09 : 29.69% / 69.22% / -39.53%
12/08 – 12/30/09 : 28.76% / 69.93% / -41.17%
12/16 – 01/06/10 : 31.00% / 68.44% / -37.44%
12/22 – 01/13/10 : 31.70% / 67.52% / -35.82%
12/28 – 01/20/10 : 33.95% / 64.78% / -30.83%
01/04 – 01/25/10 : 35.47% / 63.20% / -27.72%
01/12 – 02/03/10 : 35.98% / 62.19% / -26.21%
01/19 – 02/10/10 : 35.50% / 62.62% / -27.12%
01/26 – 02/17/10 : 36.13% / 62.50% / -26.37%
02/02 – 03/02/10 : 36.67% / 61.82% / -25.15%
02/09 – 03/09/10 : 34.77% / 63.69% / -28.93%
02/16 – 03/16/10 : 37.07% / 61.66% / -24.59%
03/01 – 03/30/10 : 37.39% / 61.32% / -23.94%
03/08 – 04/06/10 : 38.21% / 60.95% / -22.74%
03/15 – 04/13/10 : 39.19% / 60.35% / -21.15%
03/29 – 04/21/10 : 41.50% / 57.86% / -16.36%
04/06 – 05/05/10 : 39.81% / 59.63% / -19.83%
04/12 – 05/11/10 : 37.16% / 62.03% / -24.87%
04/20 – 05/19/10 : 36.65% / 62.20% / -25.55%
05/04 – 05/25/10 : 31.51% / 67.43% / -35.92%
05/11 – 06/02/10 : 31.40% / 67.46% / -36.07%
05/18 – 06/08/10 : 33.17% / 65.34% / -32.17%
05/24 – 06/14/10 : 30.73% / 68.12% / -37.39%
06/01 – 06/22/10 : 33.63% / 65.08% / -31.45%
06/07 – 06/28/10 : 30.66% / 68.23% / -37.57%
06/13 – 07/07/10 : 31.17% / 68.40% / -37.23%
06/21 – 07/13/10 : 32.22% / 67.26% / -35.05%
06/27 – 07/21/10 : 29.85% / 69.52% / -39.68%
07/06 – 07/29/10 : 30.45% / 68.93% / -38.48%
07/12 – 08/06/10 : 31.42% / 67.94% / -36.52%
07/20 – 08/12/10 : 31.85% / 67.59% / -35.74%

Extremely consistent. This is most likely the appropriate level of approval from independents.