For the first time this election, John McCain leads Barack Obama in a Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll. McCain has a statistically insignificant 47-46% when counting leaners.
McCain Leads Obama in Latest Poll
Update: See all updated recent polls here.
Obama’s favorability rating is tumbling. He is now viewed favorably by 51% of registered voters compared with McCain by 55%. Even within his own party, Obama is viewed favorably by 81% of Democrats, while the GOP candidate is viewed favorably by 87% of Republicans. Both of these numbers are stunning turnarounds. View the Rasmussen poll results here.
In hindsight, the trip to Europe appears to have rubbed people the wrong way while economic challenges are primarily on voters’ minds. McCain has taken full advantage, recently unleashing a flurry of advertisements which depict Obama as elitist and out of touch with everyday concerns.
John McCain’s comprehensive energy policy has been embraced by the American electorate, which has caused the democratic candidate to recently flip-flop on offshore oil drilling. Obama could have helped himself by following through on a pledge to debate McCain in a series of town hall meetings, but he backed out of that promise last week. And Iraq is stabilizing thanks to the surge, turning what was once an advantage for Obama into a new question about the candidate’s judgment.
All of this stacks up to a precipitous Obama drop in the polls. Can he recover? Of course! But Barack Obama’s once substantial lead is now ancient history in the political cycle. He will need to do something new to stem the tide.
Clearly it is raining McCain.
McCain Leads Obama (McCain Girls Video)
August 4th, 2008 at 8:42 am
Hold on before the celebration. This is one poll, which had the Obama lead within the margin of error for a while now. Let’s hold off before declaring a trend for McCain…
August 4th, 2008 at 9:05 am
I dont like to place too much on polls because too much can happen in any small amount of time.
But one thing that has been made clear by the polls is that McCain has been climbing steadly for weeks now.
And I’m tickled to death to be able to show these arrogant maniacs that what they thought would never happen did happen. Even if it is just for a day
I’m willing to bet that a lot them are giving some heartbroken thought to this.
If this keeps up the blogs will probably turn into the best form of entertaiment around as we watch Obamamaniacs self destruct.
August 4th, 2008 at 9:08 am
1 point does not mean much, but the internals of the poll are really bad for Obama. His unfavorables are at 48%, he looses to independent/leaners by 15% and this is a likely voter model, not a registered voter model. Obama needs to do something this week to stop the free-fall. I expect a VP choice, shortly thereafter Bush will call a special session of Congress to mute the effect.
August 4th, 2008 at 9:36 am
McCain has him on energy and foreign policy.
Obama has the edge on the economy.
However, Americans have a very very very short memory. U.S. troop deaths in Iraq are way down. If that stays true for the next 3 months, I think repubs will start to declare victory.
Gas prices are down, stock market is gaining traction, leading economic indicators are up, and though the economy is still weak, I think people may start to think we’ve gone through the worst of it, and it’s better from here.
All that points to the Bush-baggage not being as bad for McCain in November as we thought it would be in June. That helps in a big way.
August 4th, 2008 at 9:55 am
You might want to ask your State representative energy conservation? How much gas, oil and electricity we could save, if we sent illegal aliens packing.
We cannot keep up the demand for it right now! Oil! Diversity Alliance for Sustainable America.(earthtimes) stated in it’s article that if the U.S. grants amnesty and gives citizenship to 12 to 30 million illegal migrants already here, as McCain, Obama and the majority of Democrats propose. That all those naturalized citizens could possibly add 120 million U.S. and foreign-born relatives to the U.S., in the next 20 years whom all will CONSUME MAJOR ENERGY. Does the American people need to escalate the 315 million plus population, the census estimates we have now? To a new total of 435 million?
The executive director of (DASA) admitted “Proposal to reduce energy costs in the U.S. will not work unless we also simultaneously curb U.S. population growth by reducing immigration and curbing teen pregnancies.” Severing the illegal immigration occupation and deporting those already here is a good start, but not the complete solution to this serious energy problem that cannot be reversed. Unless another Nikola Tesla, an underrated genius of the 19th century invents a some new form of energy, we will be reliant on fossil fuels for years to come? Clean coal, geothermal, eco-fuel and of course wind power and solar. The latter is energy that is a perpetual source of unimaginable power that knows no bounds.
The Save Act (H.R.5088) is an enforcement federal bill only, to start the EXODUS of foreign nationals illegally in AMERICA. NUMBERSUSA has all the unsuppressed facts
Footnote:
August 4th, 2008 at 10:58 am
Brittanicus
I get the funny feeling that you would not stop at teen pregnancies and illegal aliens.
You sound an awful lot like some Church of Euthanasia advocate.
I think you set a scary scenario when you start suggesting that we limit human reproduction and our population instead of trying to figure out how to cherish and accommodate life.
Besides that. I have a feeling its a lot easier for an immigrant to contribute his fair share once hes here legally.
I’m not in favor of illegals or amnesty but if they are naturalized, here legally and able to work and contribute to state and fed budgets, pay for their own energy, I dont see how they could be costing anyone.
Especilly if by that time we are operating on renwable or less exaustable energy.
You sound an awful lot also like what Reidhead posted the other day.
http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=1819#comments
“How Extreme Environmentalist Liberals Created the Anti-Immigration “Movementâ€?
You’re spooky man, just plain spooky
August 4th, 2008 at 1:28 pm
Those same polls show that the Republicans are still in trouble in other races (local and Congress). Actually, as bad as things are right now, McCain with a big Democratic Congress is not an entirely bad thing. McCain has a LONG history of working with the other party. HE would be more likely to be the one to change the dynamics of politics in Washington. What a good precedent he could set in being truly a non-partisan president.
August 4th, 2008 at 1:43 pm
Harrison, that thinking is scaring the hell out of Obama. McCain and a Democratic congress + Lieberman isn’t that far off from Clinton. And guess who’s constituents have a huge chips on their shoulders over the primary?
August 5th, 2008 at 11:25 am
Both McCain and Obama previously opposed off-shore drilling. Both McCain and Obama now support it. Why do you “report” that Obama has flip-flopped? Why is this not also a flip-flop for McCain?
August 5th, 2008 at 12:46 pm
McCain cannot keep facts straight, so is he too old to run this country? I predict we will see more of his geriatric moments during the debates.
August 5th, 2008 at 1:30 pm
This is horrible. As soon as McCain is no longer seen as an underdog, the mass media will lay off picking apart Obama and start picking apart all the things McCain has flip-flopped on, bungled up, and all the lobbyists he’s in bed with. Everyone is ignoring the whole Keating Five thing for the time being.. McCain needs to stay slightly *behind* Obama all the way up to the week before the election, or he is *screwed* - he will be picked apart like a dead rabbit by vultures if he’s seen as the leader in this race for more than a few days.
August 5th, 2008 at 1:57 pm
Racer.
McCain was cleared in the Keating five.
What purpose does it serve to keep bringing it up ?
August 5th, 2008 at 2:26 pm
being censured for bad judgment is not the same as being cleared
August 6th, 2008 at 8:47 am
Spin.
August 6th, 2008 at 9:01 am
Still, he was cleared of original allegations and charges and only seen as the least culpable out of the five.
Its a lot to do about nothing and you morons keep bringing it up as if you just found the center of the universe.
I would be more worried about McCains stance on immigration or something of some substance that will effect you later in life such sa his position on immigration
August 28th, 2008 at 1:35 am
O-BOMB-US has brought racisiam into this election.
The great Martin Luther King brought the people together after his beautiful speech and now Mr.and Mrs. O-BOMB-US has torn the blacks and whites apart.The polls will mean nothing in this electon.It will be about race this time.And O-BOMB-US will lose so bad that the people of this great country,blacks and whites have to start all over again to get along.
August 28th, 2008 at 3:49 pm
-The lowest level of job creation since 1939.
-Tax breaks to big oil on the heals of record gas prices.
-Tax breaks for the top 10% of income earners and the belief that trickle down economics works.
-Record CEO salaries.
-Jobs shipped overseas.
Sure, let’s put another Republican back in office. An these yahoos want four more years with John McCain. How many houses you got John? You have to make 5 million dollars to be considered to be rich according to McCain.
You don’t have a clue about the needs of the American people! Go Obama!
September 5th, 2008 at 4:45 am
God told me in a dream that Obama would win and get this country back on track!
September 6th, 2008 at 12:20 pm
Did I mention I fired the Alaska Governor’s voice coach? Oh, you noticed!
September 12th, 2008 at 10:35 am
The Republicans are more focused on comments about lipstick on a pig, Obama’s reference to John McCain billing himself as the man of change, then on the real issues facing America.
How can you focus on a failed record and policies that have failed America.
Well taken right out of the Karl Rove playbook, you can start by taking the attention off of yourself and your record and focus on unimportant things like lipstick and pigs.
The American public must have amnesia or the shortest memory of any developed world. John MCCain even admitted during his acceptance speech that “The Republican Party Has Lost It’s Way”. What, are the American People suppose to give these jokers 4 more years to find themselves. Give me a break! This should not even be close. Get a clue America! The choice shouldn’t be any clearer. Obama ‘08.
September 27th, 2008 at 9:30 am
McCain only talked about defense, war and war. Nobody wins war in 21st century. Unless he wants to wipe out all Iraqis for just being Iraqis.His high headedness and and fighting attitude will only lead our great nation to alienation and isolation from rest of the world and final collapse. We need a president not a crazy war monger who thinks he can dictate the world just by muscle power rather than brain power. He still lives in 1844.
October 19th, 2008 at 2:16 pm
obama rules!!!!
October 19th, 2008 at 4:17 pm
And a ruler is exactly what you’ll get stuck with.
October 22nd, 2008 at 3:31 am
if obama wins this election this world or U.S. as some of us call it will deffently go down hill.. obama lies in every debate trying to save his butt whenever i listen to the radio i hear about 10 obama commercials in 5 minutes. everything that hes says is a lie and he wont do anything to help us at all. plus democrats think that they can run your life better then you can! laws will be crazy! i’d rather just have H. clinton on elected atleast we know shes crazy! obama just lies and covers it up. now mccain, whats everyone got against him?? hes old wow, think about all the old people in your life (60-75) unless they have some kind of problem with them they could do everything you can and maybe even better from experience. its not like john mccain is running track here is going to run a country that doesnt mean he needs to run. so what if hes old. ..thanks
October 29th, 2008 at 1:00 pm
i think that obama is not the right person for the job…. i believe that he is teh anti christ just like the bible says in the last says a man from the middle east will come and act like he is our best friend and he will seem like he wants to help up and be our friend then when that person gets high power he will turn on us. i think this nation is going to die and weather you believe it or not the time is near that God is gonna send Jesus to come and take all the people that has been following him. and even if Obama is not the anti christ i still think that he is not a good person to have as a president. I think that people should start realizing that its time to buckle up for a ride you will remember for the rest of your life……
i also believe that we should have our government based on the Bible like it was built. Because that is the way that our founding fathers built it and wanted it. So we should follow in there footsteps and take charge in what is the right thing to do and i believe that that is what sarah palin is going to try and do just because her daughter got pregnet dosnt mean that she wont be a good vice president…. and people make mistakes all the time… Now i am not trying to make you change your mind about who you want in office i am jsut saying keep an open mind!!!!
Thank you.