Here is the thread for Montana exit polls and election results for the Montana primary. We will live-blog throughout the day on June 3rd, 2008 for the Democrat primary so use this thread to start the dialog. Winners will be posted as soon as we can make the call.
16 delegates will be divided by Clinton and Obama, added to the 8 super-delegates.
The polls indicate that Obama’s support in Montana has substantially eroded in the past month. That is, if we are to believe the only two polling outfits which canvassed the state in May. If Hillary Clinton comes close to winning Montana, blame will be placed squarely on Obama’s ties to his controversial church in Chicago.
Nevertheless it is all over but for the phat lady to sing. Hillary Clinton will succumb to a mountain of super-delegate endorsements on Tuesday which may put Obama over the top by Tuesday night no matter how she does in the state. Hillary was cool while she lasted, Hill and Bill, together for perhaps the last time.
While we await the results, you can read Kristin Teigen’s account of Barack Obama pandering to Native Americans in Montana. Apparently he has promised to appoint a Native American to his senior staff regardless of need.
We will give you the data and make the call before any of the major news sources. They will keep you hanging for ratings, while we will give you the facts just as early as they are known.
Here are the polls on election eve:
Montana Polls
The latest pre-election polls are below.
ARG (5/31 – 6/1/08)
Barack Obama – 48%
Hillary Clinton – 44%Mason-Dixon (5/19 – 5/21/08)
Barack Obama – 52%
Hillary Clinton – 35%
June 3rd, 2008 Live-blogging Updates:
Montana exit poll data (Democrat):
(Updated throughout the day)
Published exit poll data. (later)
Exit Polls (AP):
1/3 of Clinton supporters will vote for McCain or stay home.
60% will be unhappy if Obama wins.
70% say Obama is trustworthy. Only 50% say Clinton is trustworthy.
40% say economy is the most important issue.
1/3 are very worried about economy.
Montana Primary Results (Democrats):
June 3rd, 2008 at 7:09 am
Obama is going to win by 20%+ at least according to the campaign’s internal polls. He’s up big in Montana as of the last few days.
June 3rd, 2008 at 7:31 am
Tootie -
I hope that is the case because Drudge is reporting that Clinton’s campaign believes they will win SD by 25 points. There will be an hour or two from the MSM tonight about how Obama is limping to victory and what a strong candidate Hillary continues to be. He will then win Montana and, hopefully, have enough superdelegates lined up to claim the nomination.
June 3rd, 2008 at 8:15 am
Obama has been limping to victory only if you consider Puerto Rico, Kentucky, and West Virginia. But the internal polls are very strong in Montana, and Obama is probably going to win S. Dakota, though maybe only by 5-10% based on internals.
June 3rd, 2008 at 8:23 am
sure, you all have all the numbers even before the people have actually voted..
June 3rd, 2008 at 8:45 am
Tootie,
why are you lying. I am so tired of everyone lying on this site. Why do YOU have the internal poll numbers and not someone like Matt Drudge?
Stop your lies.
June 3rd, 2008 at 8:46 am
mccain: tootie = four?
June 3rd, 2008 at 8:58 am
These primaries are moot. Tomorrow, according to Fox News, WSJ and none other than Larry Johnson…the Whitey Video will be released.
Goodbye Obama.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:00 am
shut up ig
i am so sick of your crap.
there is no video.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:01 am
ig: links?
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:01 am
ig
you talk crap every primary.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:09 am
I get the Wall Street Journal at home and there is no other mention. Again like these geniusses in here who know the vote % , this genius knows where the so called secret tape is..and who is editing it..
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:10 am
shut up ig
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:11 am
ig is annoying and angry
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:18 am
oh NO there is a video of McCain having sex with a man, per Huffington Post
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:19 am
Who’s the angry one? 4 posts insulting me?
Geez. Defensive are we?
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:23 am
nobody is defensive, you moron…dont tell lies..
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:25 am
This reminds me of the “Area 51″ debate
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:28 am
Bob Beckel reported on Fox New. You can see the video, on Larry Johnson’s site.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:30 am
Travis also posted the WSJ online post on this issue.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:32 am
I was just there nothing of such sort here liar
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:37 am
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121242817455738405.html
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:40 am
Travis, you keep going from site to site copying and pasting the same article. You fool, I am not asking you to show me an opinion that it migth exists… when you find it tell me..
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:42 am
actually I have posted this link twice. both time on the same site, just different threads. Someone mentioned the link so i posted it.
June 3rd, 2008 at 9:48 am
According to the news just released by AP, with the minimum folks that he needs even if he loses MO and SD, he has clinched the nomination for democratic party. News also is that Hillary has supposedly called Barack to congratulate him…. keep reading…
June 3rd, 2008 at 10:09 am
Did anyone notice that for a brief time MSNBC website had Montana called for Obama, 50 to 40% with 100% reporting?
Someone screwed up!