Let me give you some straight talk friends, here is how the west was lost.
After looking at the recent travel schedules and events planned by presidential hopeful Senator John McCain, one has to ask: What exactly do his internal polls show and who is giving him advice? It would appear some Giuliani strategists have joined the McCain ranks and are now giving the current front-runner some Floridaesque advise.
The fight is out West and Sen. McCain ain’t in the fight.
Despite Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh and numerous other extreme conservatives support of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Sen. McCain enjoyed comfortable leads in CA and AZ going into last weekend. It appeared, for better or worse depending on your beliefs, that the Sort-of-Straight-Talk Express was on the road to November. The McCain internals called for a landslide victory in the most important state of Tuesday, California.
Then McCain made perhaps the biggest tactical campaign blunder since Rudy’s Florida fiasco. He got overconfident, actually believed he was the inevitable nominee, and he [gasp] left the Wild Wild West for the likes of New York, New Jersey and Massachusetts. These are all states that were out of play regardless of what any other campaign was doing. McCain will win New York and New Jersey by 10-20+ points. Romney will win Mass. by 10-20+ points. So what’s the point of campaigning in those states? The answer may be both worrying and comforting to McCain supporters. The only plausible answer to why he has set up a camp 2000 miles away from the war was that he was flat broke. He needed to raise funds and with the recent endorsement of Rudy and the predicted “inevitability” of his getting the nominee, he made a dash for the cash in states that were out of play on Tuesday. Bad Move.
Romney, seeing a recently vacated West, where Huckabee is a non-factor, went to work. He started by being seen collecting a surfboard in Orange County, California. The heart and soul of California’s conservative base. He then moved on to Colorado. A state, coupled with Nevada, which may very well be the 2000 Florida of the 2008 general elections. The result? Romney up by 19%.
Then, after some detours, back to winner-take-all Utah. Which was never really in play but will show a margin of victory the likes have never been seen. The Deseret News is predicting an 80 point win for Romney in the Beehive State. That’s right Romney 84, McCain 4. Despite McCain’s early visits to Utah, it appears it was also never really in play.
Romney then moved through some midwest states. Missouri was probably a waste of time for Romney but Minn. was not as it apportions delegates.
According to his schedule, which may be a corporate M&A style smoke shield, Romney will head to Tennessee and Georgia (where he sniped a very important Thompson supporter, Eric Johnson, who may single handedly deliver an astonishing southern Romney victory) and then race back to Cailfornia, where he is now the front runner, to hold a quick rally and media shoot in time for it all to go up on the California local evening news.
I need to point out here that Romney is effectively doing what I call “running the tides“. Gov. Mike Huckabee parishioners can tell you that when fishing from your bass boat on tidal waters, you need to run your boats in certain directions while fishing depending on time of the day and tides or you’ll severely limit your effective fishing time. Gov. Romney ran the tides today which effectively gives him an additional 4 hours of campaigning. It’s simple start in the East and end in the West.
Senator McCain, realizing his flanks have been breached, is currently racing back to California to hold a rally. Finally he’s going to engage the enchilada. The Maverick is going to come back to California swinging . . . or not. It appears that after his rally in Gardena (which should at least get him face time on the local news) he is astonishingly heading back to NJ and NY??? What the hell is he thinking? Not only is he going to the wrong battlegrounds, he’s running the tides in the wrong direction in the middle of the day. McCain will spend 8 hours of the day on an airplane and end on the East coast.
Somebody needs to fire the Giuliani advisers that have latched onto McCain and tell Maverick that the fight is in California and that he’s never backed down from a fight. The advisers seem to have incorrectly believed that either the West was firmly in the McCain Camp, or that Romney will win big in the West and thus they need to fatten the coffers for life after Total Test Tuesday. Now the question is, will Romney carry McCain’s home state of Arizona? A quick Phoenix touchdown on the way to CA may cement the Senators home state for Romney. McCain’s Arizona boys are wondering, some of them aloud, “where’s the hometown love?”
Those Gladiator fans can see the scene now, as the anointed one deplanes tomorrow night in San Diego, on the eve of the enchilada being eaten by Romney, “My friends . . . have I missed the battle?” His disheartened California rank and file will then reply with “No Sir, you have missed the war.”
Of course, McCain will have the most delegates after Tueday. But California is the real prize with everything else being peripheral. If McCain wins CA, it’s over for the conservative realists. Utah, Montana and Alaska are not going to give Romney much MO. The winner of California, regardless of all other outcomes, will have the momentum coming out of Tuesday.
Senator McCain could use some good old 80’s Ice Man advice . . . “Engage Maverick . . . damnit engage.”










February 4th, 2008 at 11:56 am
I really didn’t think Romney could win out here but I was wrong. I think you are right about some momentum coming out of California. That will prolong the ugly party infighting.
February 4th, 2008 at 1:05 pm
Not only will McCain lose the West to Romney…if McCain is the nominee, he will lose the West to the Dems. Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Montana will all go Dem and he may barely eek out Utah, Wyoming and Idaho as conservatives will be reluctant to allow someone with an (R) next to their name to take the country full speed in the wrong direction on immgration, taxes, judges, global warming, freedom of speech, treatment of terrorists etc…
Enjoy the Northeast McCain…you fit in well up there.
February 4th, 2008 at 1:08 pm
If McCain stays put in California over the weekend, he wins the state and the nomination. He’s got to get some new advisers and get out of NY and NJ.
February 4th, 2008 at 1:20 pm
Brian,
Awesome post and welcome aboard. You are a great addition to Rightpundits. Someday, a great book will be written that explores all of the mistakes made in this election season. It will probably take 2 or 3 volumnes.
February 4th, 2008 at 1:39 pm
And it will start with Giuliani and McCain skipping the Ames straw poll thereby creating Huckabee and a “they don’t care” mentality in the early states.
February 4th, 2008 at 8:06 pm
Politics, fun fun fun…
Or in other words, ARRGHHHH! That appears to be the mood of many conservatives with the choices we have left and super Tuesday looming and possibly making clear who the Republican candidate will be for the election ……
February 4th, 2008 at 9:17 pm
[...] to Right Pundits, third world county, Right Truth, A Newt One- Shared News!, The World According to Carl, [...]
February 5th, 2008 at 1:22 am
McCain leaks letter to press from Dole to Rush…
John McCain, you should be ashamed of yourself. I hear you are planning to have our beloved Ronald Reagan introduce you at one of our meetings (via old video) where you blew us off last year because you were too good to grace us with your presenc ……..
February 5th, 2008 at 10:46 am
Dear Rush,…
Dear Rush Limbaugh, Hubby and I have been faithfully listening to your podcasts over the last few months. We thank you for your strong stance against Juan [John] McCain and we agree with your reasons why McCain seems to be…
February 5th, 2008 at 2:19 pm
UPDATED AND BUMPED: MAINSTREAM BLOGS JUST REALIZED THAT THE DEM PARTY WILL SELECT, NOT ELECT THE NOMINEE VIA SUPER DELEGATES……Super Delegates: The DNC’s Insurance Policy Against The Stupid Voters…
UPDATED AND BUMPED: As I have been telling you since January 20, 2008, the Democratic nomination will be decided by the super delegates and not the voters. Hot Air just picked up on this, as did Ace. Open Left has this:
From this point, quick math sh…
February 5th, 2008 at 4:24 pm
Breaking News: Rep Sue Myrick (R-NC) Announces Maj Stephen Coughlin to be retained in DoD!…
And that, ladies and gentlemen, is good news.
The Congresswoman has been investigating the reported firing (see here, here, here) of Major Stephen Coughlin (USAR) by the Department of Defense (DOD) Joint Staff.
First and foremost, Rep. Myrick c…
February 5th, 2008 at 6:28 pm
Undocumented Immigrants, Real Crimes 2/05…
As part of an on going series, The Virtuous Republic, from time to time, scans the headlines, looking for illegal aliens involved in criminal activities.
Why do we pick on illegal immigrants? Are we trying to paint all illegals as criminals? Those are …
February 6th, 2008 at 1:48 am
[...] to Michelle Malkin, Right Pundits, The Virtuous Republic, Rosemary’s Thoughts, A Blog For All, 123beta, A Newt One- Shared News!, [...]
February 6th, 2008 at 5:19 pm
New drinking game…
John McCain will speak at CPAC, the grassroots conservative conference, tomorrow. A good time to take a slight break from this political campaign season, or at least deaden our senses to the pain that may be inflicted upon us soon….
February 6th, 2008 at 5:30 pm
McCain at CPAC, will it be enough?…
Words and more words, but what of actions? No doubt McCain will try to reach out to conservatives. After all, we’ve only go two eyes to poke at and he already did that some time ago. But a speech is a very difficult way ……
February 6th, 2008 at 8:38 pm
Election 2008 – Is staying home an option?…
This post was prompted by the following comment left at a previous post, where I stated I might sit out the election if it ends up being a McCain/Huckabee ticket ……
February 6th, 2008 at 9:29 pm
[...] to Right Pundits, Outside the Beltway, The Virtuous Republic, Rosemary’s Thoughts, A Blog For All, 123beta, A [...]
February 7th, 2008 at 2:26 pm
On Jan 31, 2008 I wrote a letter to the Mayor of Berkeley stating my position regarding his and the City Counsel’s position on the USMC recruiting station.
I passed that letter along to a couple of Marine handball buddies. They passed that email/letter to the guys who play in the Semper Fi handball tournament at MCRD, who passed it along to, who passed it along to, etc.
In my wildest dreams I never envisioned the response I have received. I now spend ALL DAY answering my cell phone acknowledging that yes, I really did write “THE” letter, and receiving personal thank yous from Generals, Majors, Colonels, SGTs, PVTs, CEOs, COOs, talk show hosts, and average everyday American Patriots. Over 220 yesterday and up to the same today the 7th at 2:30 p.m.
Likewise I spend the balance reading emails from the same sort of people.
I am humbled to a degree that is hard to state clearly. I am emotionally overwhelmed with the positive response to my letter and want to thank everyone who has called me or emailed me to state their support.
My intention was never to shine the spotlight on me, it was to cause, to whatever degree I could, great fiscal discomfort to the city of Berkeley in retaliation to their un-American, cowardly and despicable stance that the US Marines are unwelcome, and uninvited intruders in their city.
If in my small way I helped light a fire that now appears to be blazing across the nation, I am proud of that, but I am more proud of the fact that I could , at a time when our heroes are fighting against those who would destroy us, help focus some attention to the vast debt, and undying respect, that we as a nation owe to the men and women of the United States Armed Forces.
Respectfully,
Brian G Dennard
Dear Mayor Bates, Jan 31, 2008
In that you and your city have chosen to gravely insult the brave men and women, who have indeed bought you that right with their blood, I am informing you that my company will no longer do business with any of our current suppliers located in the Berkeley,California metro area.
In that my company is in international resort real estate development, and do business with and am associated with, developers and investors worldwide, I am informing all of my contacts, associates and patrons that we will no longer do any business of any sort with anyone living in the Berkeley area.
In that we/MDG Resorts are currently building a state of the art mega-yacht marina, all of the suppliers of Marina equipment, all owners of Yachts , all suppliers of Yacht materials & supplies, all yacht brokers and all tangential yacht business purveyors will likewise be informed that we will not do any business whatsoever with anyone from the Berkeley area.
Likewise all suppliers of building materials, both interior and exterior, currently associated with any of our several resort developments (Brisamar 300+ villas and 200+ condos: Porto Hussong, http://www.portohussong.com 500+ condos, 180 slip mega-yacht marina) both of which I might add have international recognition by virtue of glowing reports in Robb Report, Wall Street Journal, Yacht World, Forbes.
I will likewise inform all of our investors, most of whom are very wealthy yacht owners, casino owners, high net worth international businessmen, of our decision to essentially boycott all products and providers located in, or associated with in any way whatsoever,Berkeley, Ca.
Trust me when I say that having been in the real estate development business for over 35 years, our list of contacts and associates is long and very, very impressive. We, and I personally, are going to recomend that they ALL along with us boycott your city, its purveyors, suppliers, and businesses and CHARITIES of every kind.
You have every right to choose to take the obnoxious anti-military stance you have taken, and as stated, that right was bought for you with the blood of better men than you.
I too have every right to do all that I can to insure that your city suffers consequences arising from that obnoxious, sickening stance.
Cordially,
Brian G Dennard
Principal
Director
Meridian Development Group, LLC
[personal data removed -- see comment policy]
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February 7th, 2008 at 2:32 pm
Dear Brian – thanks for sharing with us! Kudos to you and your company for having a spine. It is a refreshing change!
February 8th, 2008 at 12:47 am
[...] Celebrity Smack, , The Pink Flamingo, A Newt One, Dumb Ox Daily News, Stageleft, Right Voices, Right Pundits, A Blog For All, 123beta, A Newt One- Shared News!, Big Dog’s Weblog, Cao’s Blog, , Conservative [...]
February 8th, 2008 at 12:49 am
Berkeley vs The USMC: The City Council, live on video and on the record…
I know that having heard about this fiasco, I wish I could have been there.
Well, Berkeley was nice enough to videotape their session, and I managed to upload to YouTube some interesting clips:
Because of the procedures they use, the main res…
February 8th, 2008 at 6:04 pm
[...] Celebrity Smack, , The Pink Flamingo, Dumb Ox Daily News, A Newt One, Stageleft, Right Voices, Right Pundits, A Blog For All, The Random Yak, 123beta, A Newt One- Shared News!, Phastidio.net, Cao’s [...]
February 8th, 2008 at 7:40 pm
[...] Cove, Celebrity Smack, , The Pink Flamingo, A Newt One, Dumb Ox Daily News, Stageleft, Right Pundits, A Blog For All, The Random Yak, 123beta, A Newt One- Shared News!, Phastidio.net, Big Dog’s [...]
February 8th, 2008 at 7:44 pm
uh-oh Berkeley is just beginning to heat up…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCXqYvJ0DaA
This video was put together by Rep. DeMint’s people.
And it was sent to me by the American Family Association.
You may not be aware of the situation in Berkeley, California. The mainstream media has n…
February 8th, 2008 at 9:19 pm
Marine Reservists forced out of Toledo by Mayor Finkbeiner…
Grand Rapids Marines were forced to cut short their training exercise in Toledo Friday by the Mayor’s office.
Pam at Right Voices asks: Why Were 200 Michigan Marine Reservists Kicked Out Of Toledo?
She has more links, although links are sparse o…