Here is your thread for exit polls and election results for the general election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. We will live-blog throughout the day on November 6th, 2012 with the general election early exit polls so use this thread to start the dialog. Winners will be posted as soon as we can make the call.
We will paying close attention to the key battleground states, such as Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, and Wisconsin. Oh sure, New Hampshire too! But we will also watch with interest some states that have unexpectedly come on the radar lately, namely Pennsylvania and Michigan. A win in either one of those latter states would signal a big Romney win on Tuesday.
Early in the night, the key state to watch will be Virginia. An early victory by Obama in Virginia would signal a big Obama win. If Romney carries it by more than 3 points, you can expect him to be the next president. A lesser Romney win there will make it a nail biter in other key states.
Most pundits have given Nevada to Obama, but we’ll watch that one and Minnesota too. Are we missing any states that really matter?
General Election Exit Polls
General updates:
11am ET: early exit poll data (first wave) is now available but theoretically under quarantine. Results will be first officially reported at 5pm ET, but we’ll get the leaks out sooner as possible.
5pm ET: exit data coming in minutes….. now…
–60% say the economy #1 concern, 15% deficit.
–51-47% Romney better on economy.
–50% say the economy is getting worse under Obama, 40% better, 10% same.
–only 25% are better off than they were 4 years ago.
–in touch with people like you: 51% Obama
–73% white vote, 10% latino, all the same as in 2008.
–by party: Dems 37% – GOP 34% – Independents 29%
–more coming in minutes…Ohio Exit Polls:
2pm ET: Huge fight is brewing over provisional ballots in the state. The Secretary of State is insisting that the laws for verification are followed. Democrats are throwing fits and the matter is already in court.
3pm ET: Obama internal polls show a tie, which is why Biden rushed back to the state today. Yesterday, Romney released his internal polls show Romney +2.
5pm ET: huge turnout in GOP areas.
Exits:
–Who would handle the economy better? tie
–Are things getting better? 37% yes, 33% noFlorida Exit Polls:
[data coming]Virginia Exit Polls:
5pm ET:
–repeal healthcare law? 49%-46% yes.
–better on economy: Romney 53-45%Colorado Exit Polls:
2pm ET: Surprisingly it was just announced that the GOP won the early vote in this state. Shift CO to leans Romney.
4pm ET: Romney is winning enough in exit polls that he has probably won CO, assuming they are reasonable accurate.
7pm ET: exits are 48-48% tied.Pennsylvania Exit Polls:
11am ET: turnout reported heavy in GOP strongholds.
2pm ET: Democrats threw over 100 GOP poll workers out of polling stations this morning in Philadelphia. Hours late a judge reeinstated them but no telling how much voter fraud occurred in the meanwhile.
5pm ET: confirm large turnout in Republican areas.Michigan Exit Polls:
[data coming]New Hampshire Exit Polls:
[data coming]Iowa Exit Polls:
2pm ET: In very liberal Johnson County, they are experiencing the lowest voter turnout since 1980.
4pm ET: GOP turnout by party-affiliation is beating expectations.
Unfortunately there will be less data available in this election cycle than last. The media outlets who sponsor the exit polls have budget realities to deal with because they are slowly going out of business, thanks in part to their liberal bias but mostly because of the internet. Nevertheless, we’ll give you what is available just as soon as it is available to us.
November 5th, 2012 at 11:45 am
The Republicans (hopefully Conservatives) have a REAL chance to increase their House seats and take over the Senate by several seats.
Worthwhile reading for the day before the presidential election 2012:
Romney for President
The Obama record is unimpressive.
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/332484/mitt-romney-president-editors
November 5th, 2012 at 1:51 pm
Increasing the House seats is somewhat unimportant and I have year to see a prediction of the GOP taking over the house.
Have you?
November 5th, 2012 at 1:56 pm
Going out of business due to their liberal views?
I sincerely doubt that. It is only an issue that is discussed by the right. The rest of the populace simply doesn’t wee it that way, nor care. Most people don’t view everything through a political prism. Ambivalence about such things is the norm.
The Internet, mobile phones and numerous television news outlets are the main reasons.
Additionally, what advantage do networks enjoy? Not many people with rabbit ears.
I think in prime time they are at a disadvantage as most cable networks allow much more provocative material and language.
Network television is now one continuous amateur hour, right back where they started.
November 5th, 2012 at 3:20 pm
Buzz, you seem to have a reading disorder. What I said was “they are slowly going out of business, thanks in part to their liberal bias but mostly because of the internet.”
So you are right in part, and you acknowledge that I am right in whole when you say “only an issue that is discussed by the right.” People on the “right” use to subscribe to the New York Times and watch CBS News. They don’t anymore, and that has quite a lot to do with the liberal bias that they perceive, in addition to availability of alternative sources.
November 5th, 2012 at 3:39 pm
They also didn’t use to have an alternative, now you can shop for the news you like.
I also think there is a danger in that because people simply hear news tailored to their own personal views.
Additionally, exaggeration is a component of ratings.
Bombast and incendiary comments (see Ann Coulter or Hannity) are the secret to an increase in ad rates.
November 6th, 2012 at 10:31 am
New Hampshire?
November 6th, 2012 at 11:42 am
NW Michigan Exit Survey: Heavy turnout / Tie Presidential / More votes for Dem Senator Stabinaw
November 6th, 2012 at 1:51 pm
“Bombast and incendiary comments (see Ann Coulter or Hannity) are the secret to an increase in ad rates.”
Ann Coulter and Hannity do not bring in the majority of FOX viewers.
Any idiot knows this.
Only 3 people watch MSNBC.
One toothpaste ad probably cost them a billion
Bombastic and incendiary would be Obama and Biden
November 6th, 2012 at 4:14 pm
Here’s some early exit polls that I just found:
7:00 – Virginia – Tied
7:30 – North Carolina – Romney +1
7:30 – Ohio – Obama +4
8:00 – Florida – Romney +1
8:00 – New Hampshire – Obama +3
8:00 – Pennsylvania – Obama +4
9:00 – Colorado – Tied
9:00 – Minnesota – Obama +4
9:00 – Wisconsin – Obama +4
10:00 – Iowa (wave 1) Obama +3
10:00 – Nevada (wave 1) Obama +5
http://politicalwire.com/
November 6th, 2012 at 8:10 pm
“Any idiot knows this”
You just can’t help yourself can you?
November 6th, 2012 at 8:26 pm
“You just can’t help yourself can you?”
If you feel you’re one of those idiots thats your problem
November 6th, 2012 at 8:34 pm
@ BUZZ
BTW, dont come crying to me about “helping ones self” when you , like all the mindless moonbat drones use Hannity and Coulter as some conservative standard.
Why you think using Hannitys name some how scores you points is stupid when most righties here have stated that Hannity is another mindless drone.
“Bombast and incendiary comments (see Ann Coulter or Hannity) are the secret to an increase in ad rates.”
You just cant help yourself, can you ?
November 6th, 2012 at 8:39 pm
It is the same on both sides and if I try to make a point I would obviously use the most outstanding samples.
Matthews and Ed Shultz do the same.
Should I have used a moderate on Fox to accentuate the fact that bombast sells? That would be idiotic
November 6th, 2012 at 9:36 pm
“Should I have used a moderate on Fox to accentuate the fact that bombast sells? That would be idiotic”
Good grief, are you really that stupid ?
Heres the point asshopper.
FOX enjoys the best prime time news ratings there are.
They do not need bombastic bullsht like Olberman, Matthews, Schultz and Maher to draw an audience.
BTW, congratulations.
Now we can impeach the b@stard like I always wanted to in the first place
November 6th, 2012 at 9:52 pm
“Good grief, are you really that stupid ?”
Are you really claiming that Fox doesn’t employ that tactic?
Heck, I could put that up for a vote on this site and win.
By the way, did you ever consider civility, in the context of any discussion?
It doesn’t matter what subject is discussed, you always invoke name-calling.
Why is that?
November 6th, 2012 at 9:54 pm
“Now we can impeach the b@stard like I always wanted to in the first place”
Umm..yeah, good luck with that.
November 7th, 2012 at 6:29 am
LOL, Buzz,
Can you say Benghazi-Gate? Sure you can!
November 7th, 2012 at 6:47 am
Benghazi-Gate.
I wouldn’t try to ride that horse too far.
November 7th, 2012 at 8:02 am
Buzz, get fcking life, would you ?
I did not call you an idiot.
If you feel you’re one of the idiots I was talking about thats your own stupid fault.
November 7th, 2012 at 8:17 am
@ Buzz
And no, you would not win any vote for the simple reason that theres an entire liberal media using bombast as opposed to your limp wristed attempt to make Hannity and Coulter somehow FOXs poster children for bombast.
One more time asshopper.
No one here gives a fck about Sean Hannity.
“It doesn’t matter what subject is discussed, you always invoke name-calling.”
Wrong grasshopper, not “always”, and in this case I was generalizing. Get a pair.
This is the last time I’m going to hold your hand after you’ve read one of my posts.
=======================
As far as Benghazi goes, it will become a festering canker sore on his tip until the omly choice is amputation
November 7th, 2012 at 9:35 am
Get a pair.
Yea, I understand, name-calling is something akin to manliness.
Strange, no one else on here has to resort to such nonsense.
Oh well, you are who you are.
Remember the old “Hooked on Phonics” advertisement.
“People judge you on the words you use”.
November 7th, 2012 at 9:43 am
As if I care what you think.