The results of the 2008 Nevada caucus are below along with your opinions. This is a live-blogging open thread so we want to hear from you on election day.
Updates below.
The race in Nevada is between Mitt Romney and John McCain. My guess is that despite all of the fanfare, McCain will triumph easily over Romney. If I am wrong, I will give Romney a second look. I just don’t think that his cocky eastern mannerisms have much appeal in the west. Prove me wrong, Mitt Romney. Look for Mike Huckabee to get no more than 10% of the vote. You can think about why on your own time.
The race on the Democratic site is equally interesting. Barack Obama has all of the momentum but none of the baggage that goes with expectations. He may actually win this race, in which case Hillary has more work to do. But I expect that Hillary will win this one for the same reasons as McCain. Barack Obama, prove me wrong that you have appeal outside the Democratic establishment.
Results of the Nevada primary and exit polls are below.
Updated Exit Polls:
Exit polling data for Nevada:
Romney about 46%
Ron Paul about 20%
John McCain about 10%
Fred Thompson about 9%
MIke Huckabee about 8%
Rudi Giulian about 4%
Duncan Hunter about 2%
25% of all the votes were cast by Mormons, so something is up in camp Romney. 94% of Mormon voters went for Romney.
Democrat exit polls:
Exit polls in Nevada showing Hillary beating Obama with plenty to spare, about 48-35%. Looks like she is an easy winners. She trounced Obama among women and even beat him among men. The early returns show an even race so they may be way off.
See more here.
Updated Results 1:
In a mild surprise to only me, Mitt Romney wins a sparsely attended Nevada caucus. 20% of the turnout was Mormon. He must have bussed in supporters from neighborhood Utah. Kidding. Romney has 46% of the vote in the early stages of counting.
Mitt Romney’s victory tells me that big-government Republicanism is still playing well among party regulars. His solutions for the problems of Michigan and Nevada and every state he visits is more federal money for them. He talks fiscal responsibility in fuzzy general terms, but the specifics are more largess and less individual responsibility. It may take a Hillary Clinton presidency to cure what ails the Republican party today.
Meanwhile the fight goes on in Nevada for Obama and Hillary. The latest news is that Bill Clinton himself personally witnessed voter “suppression” in Nevada. She must have been cute.
Updated Results 2: Democrat results.
See exit polls above. Hillary is way ahead in them, but the early returns so she is tied. Expect Hillary to win but it will be closer than expected. My guess is that feminist exit poll workers skewed the results by interviewing the wrong people again.









January 19th, 2008 at 10:16 am
Well, it looks like Mitt pulled it out in Nevada, where Fox has called the election for Mitt.
Obama and Hillary are still duking it out. I love to see unions fighting….!
January 19th, 2008 at 10:55 am
Where have I been? MBT – could you post those exit polls? Is the caucus over in NV?
January 19th, 2008 at 11:02 am
OK – I see the link. 20 hours on a plane this week gives me the right to claim jet lag as an excuse.
If Romney somehow wins SC, then McCain is done. Dare I say, the only person who could beat Romney for the nomination is Rudy. That is, if Rudy decides to actually start campaigning.
January 19th, 2008 at 11:41 am
McCain, I think it is time for your second look!
(everyone expected Romney to have a solid victory in Nevada today, and that is what happened.)
I am confused how a McCain supporter, (he of the McCain-Feingold anti-First Amendment movement) could accuse Mitt Romney of “big government Republicanism.” I like Sen. McCain a good deal in many regards, but Romney is far more of a full spectrum conservative and has the executive experience and the background as someone from outside Washington to bring about the changes that are needed.
While my candidate Romney keeps racking up the delegates, I expect that he will finish third tonight in South Carolina.
Ten until Florida and whomever wins will be in good shape moving on to Super Tuesday.
January 19th, 2008 at 12:06 pm
C’mon Corey. Romney’s solution for auto workers in Michigan (reality check, they really won’t get those jobs back) is for his compassionate conservative administration to spend $20 billion on automobile technology research and fuel efficiency standards. Oh joyful nanny state! That’s another hundred bucks for every single person to cough up, which is why Ronald Reagan would have told them to get another job. Why don’t we just vote for Al Gore?
Hey, haven’t heard of “full spectrum” conservative before. That sounds like another one of those labels like “social” conservative for people who insist on calling themselves conservative. Isn’t Romney just a guy promising everything to everyone, just like our current president? Can’t wait for the No Pet Left Behind initiative and free drugs for everyone. HA!
January 19th, 2008 at 12:23 pm
actually i think i might support the no pet left behind act
i love cats
January 19th, 2008 at 12:27 pm
See exit polls and Democrat winner above.
January 19th, 2008 at 1:32 pm
It is a stretch to call Romney a proponent of small gov. Having said that, he must be the front runner since he has 3 victories and a boat load of cash. That is a main advantage that he has over McCain. Also, Romney does work his butt off.
January 21st, 2008 at 2:01 pm
And of course none of you douche-bags even bother to mention RON PAUL blowing away McCain with a solid 2nd place victory. I guess thats part of your conditioning to be good sheople.
January 21st, 2008 at 2:43 pm
Shayman baby, I have an entire post dedicated to the glory of Dr. Paul. C’mon now!
January 26th, 2008 at 2:16 pm
I have two words RON PAUL