This Presidential election, like many other recent ones, will probably be decided in the Midwest. The Republican’s chosen candidate, Mitt Romney, was selected in great part because of his presumed ability to collect support in this region. Also, we saw last week that both campaigns have already been barnstorming in Ohio.
Leans Republican – IN
Electoral Votes – 11
Strong Democratic – IL
Electoral Votes – 20
Toss Up – MI, OH, WI
Electoral Votes – 44
As shown above, it is easy to see why so much money and so much time will be expended in the Midwest by both campaigns. Other than Illinois, no state in the region is locked into either candidate. I anticipate that, for the next four months, these states will be inundated with ads from both Romney and Obama; they’ll also continue to campaign throughout the region.
An advantage Romney has is that many of the governors in these states are Republican. It should therefore be easy to get volunteers for his presidential run.
Now that we’ve looked at all of the regions and all of the states (unless I’ve accidentally left out some of the 53 states), we’ll begin looking more in depth at the states that will be contested this summer and fall.