I am certain that I will come to regret this post. Given that the title of our blog is Right Pundits, I thought I would engage in some punditry. Certainly, the odds are that my predictions will prove to be wildly inaccurate. Feel free to post your opinions in the comments section. Whoever is closest will get a slap on the back, internet style.
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GOP
Mitt Romney – 26%
Mike Huckabee – 21%
John McCain – 19%
Fred Thompson -12%
Rudy Giuliani – 10%
Dr. Paul – 8%
The Rest – who cares?
McCain will prove to be the big surprise on the GOP side. He will gain momentum going into the New Hampshire primary and will position himself as the front runner. Huckabee’s momentum will be stopped in the tracks in Iowa and he will no longer be a viable candidate. Romney would need a more decisive victory to claim any momentum especially since he outspent every other candidate in Iowa by millions. That won’t stop Mitt from claiming to have the momentum. A win in New Hampshire will be a must. Fred will be relieved to have broken into double digits and will still tout that he is the only conservative choice in the race. Rudy will be quiet with the exception of 8 or 9 mentions of 9/11 to his supporters in Iowa. The strategy of winning the big primaries will be thrown to the wolves and his campaign will make a last ditch effort in New Hampshire with the goal of a 3rd place finish.
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Dems
Hillary Clinton – 35%
Barack Obama – 28%
John Edwards – 19%
The Rest – who cares?
The Clinton spin machine will be in full force twisting the results as a stunning victory for Senator Clinton. Silly little things like facts will not get in there way. Obama will stress that the results prove that people want change and that he has the momentum going into New Hampshire. Edwards will give his usual “2 America’s” stump speech to his supporters. Nobody will care. The war for you Mr. Edwards, is over.
Next – New Hampshire
December 28th, 2007 at 5:28 pm
Ok Mike,
My source says that Huckahillbillee had a bad overnight poll result… Can’t reveal the source. Its due to his apology speech. He also had a bad day today on illegal immigration and the Pakistantis.
I agree with your pick on the R side – MrRomney now wins followed by Huckster.
On the D side, my source (not the same person as my R source)says that the Silky Pony is rising fast. I think Hillary finishes third, whcih would be a terrible result for her.
The winner for the Rs in Iowa will not win the nomination.
December 28th, 2007 at 6:05 pm
Tina,
Thanks for the input. I don’t have an inside source but my feeling on the Dem side is that party will coalese around the establishment candidate. We will see.
December 28th, 2007 at 9:37 pm
ok deflav,
ill pick the huckster with 30%, rom 24%, cain 20%, fred 15%
for the d’s- edwards w 30% obama 28% hildabeast 27%
December 28th, 2007 at 9:47 pm
Tim V,
Wow, I am surprised with the Edwards pick. I have not posted under my real name for 3 years but everyone still remembers it.
I think Huck’s campaign is beginning to implode. We will find out soon enough.
December 29th, 2007 at 12:29 am
Hey Tim V, nice to hear from you.
Glad to see my man McCain making a comeback, although it unfortunately signals the abysmal GOP field more than anything else. I hope that whimpy Huckabee gets his baloney ass whooped.
Given the GOP field, time to imagine a stalemate primary season and something truly exciting happening at the convention. Yeah I know…. never mind.
December 29th, 2007 at 6:18 am
McCain may be the only adult leader in a weak Republican field.
December 31st, 2007 at 11:43 am
Why bother following any of this? Whoever wins on the GOP side, he will lose in the general election. The market says so. See the graph:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_PRES08_WTA.cfm
January 1st, 2008 at 7:50 pm
The only un-owned republican candidate, Dr. Paul should be getting more serious consideration by the Iowa Caucus
January 1st, 2008 at 8:04 pm
Democrats:
Round 1
Clinton- 29
Edwards- 27
Obama- 26
Biden- 8
Richardson- 7
Kucinich – 2
Dodd- 1
Post viability drop outs
Obama-35
Clinton- 33
Edwards- 30
uncommitted- 2
Republicans:
Romney- 30
Huckabee- 28
Thompson- 12
McCain- 11
Paul- 8
Giuliani- 8
Keyes- 2
Hunter- 1
January 1st, 2008 at 8:09 pm
Mitch, Dr. Paul is a libertarian nut-case who believes in private money (which he ignorantly confuses with the gold standard). No good ever came from private money except in the theoretical world of nutty economists. Give me the Federal Reserve system any day.
January 2nd, 2008 at 4:46 am
Corey,
I honestly think that Romney will defeat Huck by a larger margin. Huck is imploding. You may be right about Dr. Paul and Rudy scoring about the same.
The bottom line for Rudy is that he MUST win FL or he is done. If he does not win FL then it becomes a McCain/Romney contest. Both would have problems with the evangelical community. A very close call.
January 2nd, 2008 at 4:47 am
It is good to know that at least 1 Pauliac has found this blog.
January 2nd, 2008 at 12:18 pm
Top 3 for each party:
Dem:
1. Edwards
2. Obama
3. Clinton
Rep:
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. Paul
I think the polls do not accurately reflect Paul’s support. He is drawing voters that either have not voted at all or have not voted as registered republicans in the past and these people would not have been polled. The guy raised 20 mil in a quarter, he’s on a roll…