Two new polls, the USA Today/Gallup and CBS News/New York Times, show that Mitt Romney may very well defeat Barack Obama by a landslide this November. The other day, I wrote that Obama may have lost the election last week, partly due to his latest political miscalculation, the gay marriage issue. The new polls show that two-thirds of voters believe that Obama only changed his stance purely for political reasons. Meanwhile, efforts to smear Mitt Romney have gone nowhere, as Romney′s favorable numbers have improved. Even the alleged ′gender-gap′ with women has evaporated. When it comes to the primary issue before the nation, our economy, Romney has a double-digit lead over Obama as being the man to fix the problems.
First, let us look at the CBS News/NYTimes poll, which is always skewed in favor of Democrats, in this case, by at least 6 points. Even with this built-in bias, Romney leads Obama 46% to 43% in whom people are likely to vote for. The survey was conducted between May 11 through the 13, so the impressions are fresh. This is a 6-point shift from their same poll last month. On the gender gap, Obama fell from 49% support with women in April to 44% now, while Romney went up from 43% to 46%. Concerning bases of support, Obama lost ground, 3 points among declared Democrats and down 5 points among Independents. Romney gained one point among both Republicans and Independents. On same-sex marriages, the numbers have declined in support since last polled in February, 2012. Down from 40% to 38% in favor of marriage being legal, however those in favor of legal civil unions went up from 23% to 24%. Those believing that same-sex partners should have no legal recognition at all went up from 31% to 33%. So this issue will not help Obama.
Now, let us look at the new USA Today/Gallup Poll. Interestingly enough, 58% of those polled believe that economy will be better in 2013. Why? Perhaps because 55% think Mitt Romney will improve the economy. Only 46% think Obama can. We also see in this poll that favorable-unfavorable gap has closed between the two candidates. Romney is now at 50% favorable with just 41% unfavorable while Obama is at 52% favorable with 46% unfavorable. One last item for you ′ticket′ fans. The GOP now has a 50% to 44% lead in congressional races. In February, the poll was tied and last August, Democrats enjoyed a 7-point lead.
To wrap up these two new polls by CBS News/New York Times and USA Today/Gallup, we see that even with the built-in slant which always favors Democrats, Mitt Romney has either taken the lead or has eliminated the gap with Barack Obama. The economy is still the number one issue in the country and that favors Romney significantly. The attempts by Obama to deflect attention with lesser issues, such as gay marriage, or his campaign′s early efforts to smear Romney′s character have failed. Should this trend continue through November, Mitt Romney stands to beat Barack Obama by a landslide in 2012.
May 15th, 2012 at 6:46 am
I am so relieved to see Romney gaining support with women. In my view Romney appears to be a strong family man and Ann should be commended for staying home and raising her children. She will make a positively elegant first lady.
Michele sent her oldest to Mexico without any parental oversight. What mother would do that, even considering taxpayers paid for dozens of secret service.
Baracka appears to spend more time golfing and campaigning then he spends time with his children. His wife and children normally take separate planes for vacations rather than going as a family.
I might not agree with Romney on all issues, but I respect his position as a husband and father.
Obama and Michele not so much.
May 15th, 2012 at 6:54 am
That’s a good poing, Deborah. I’m remembering an interview Michelle O gave in 2008 in which she complained that Obama had abandoned their family early in his political life. Mitt never did that but always put family first.
It’s early. Good news is Romney ain’t gonna run out of money but he better get some positive national ads out there before nasty Obama tried to define him.
May 15th, 2012 at 7:19 am
Wow, without Obama, what will this site do all day?
I don’t expect any criticism of Romney and I certainly won’t be seeing any slams against his wife.
Oh well, I can simply look forward to the piles of money that will sweep over me very soon.
Let’s see, I have 20 employees, so I can cancel all of their health insurance, their payroll taxes should further decrease, my personal tax rate should plummet and I can expect gas to drop to a couple of dollars a gallon and since I continue to drive a gas guzzler this is fantastic.
Furthermore, with the drop in gas, food prices should plummet and with poor people losing their “free ride” they will soon move to another country.
Heck, if the Republicans can win control of the House and Senate, Fox News will have to declare bankruptcy and Rush can retire and go back and finish community college.
This is going to be great!
Of course if things don’t work out we can simply blame Obama, since he started this mess.
May 15th, 2012 at 7:22 am
Speaking of Fox, did everyone notice that Scotland Yard just arrested Rebekah Brooks, her husband and a number of others for the voice and email hacking conspiracy?
I wonder if they will simply employ the Nuremberg defense?
May 15th, 2012 at 11:33 am
Yes, she is a member of the “liberal democrat” party in Great Britain, by the way. And it’s fitting because liberals in this country too want prying eyes in every home.
May 15th, 2012 at 1:37 pm
You keep on dreaming, buzzbee, and we’ll keep working.
May 16th, 2012 at 1:15 am
landslide victory? unlikely. romney can hope for a close battle, no more. in the bigger scheme of things, however, it won’t matter. President of the US = most powerful powerless man on earth.
May 16th, 2012 at 10:46 am
“I wonder if they will simply employ the Nuremberg defense?”
Nice.
But if you’d like to argue ethical journalism the “Jayson Blair Times”(look it up) and mostly the rest of Americas papers are just as much yellow journalism if not downright babysht beige.
Besides, although owned by Newscorp it is its own operation and that Newscorp has no argument in stating “News Of The World” journalistic actions were deplorable.
Nice reach, nice try, but so what ?
Romney will win, but not by much.
My fear is the damage the lunatics who voted for him, now and in 08, will inflict when Barack loses.
It’ll make the Rodney King riots look like a picnic.
The irony will be instead of blacks who are not all too pleased with Barry it will be white moonbats tearing and burning down their own neighborhoods crying “racism”
May 16th, 2012 at 10:48 am
why my being moderated ?
May 16th, 2012 at 11:54 am
hello ?