President Obama has begun running ads for his re-election. Unfortunately, according to the Washington Post today, his ads thus far have all included berating his opponent. Even more depressing, we can expect, for the next six months, to see this theme amplified and consolidated in virtually every ad that is run by Obama. Why is this likely to be so?
Generally, incumbents run positive campaigns when they believe that what they have accomplished in office will encourage voters to support them. Well, what has Obama accomplished thus far? I’m guessing that his two biggest ‘accomplishments’ have been the Stimulus Bill and ObamaCare. The Stimulus Bill was a hodgepodge of silliness where the President of the United States said to both houses of Congress, just do what you want, I’ll sign it…and Pelosi and Reid went nuts. By the time the bill went to the White House, it was filled with so much pork, that any possible policy benefits were minimized.
Here’s what Obama could have done instead if he absolutely wanted to do a stimulus bill. He could have said that what we need are our bridges repaired. If we want stimulus, what we’ll do is get every bridge in the country up to code. I’d wager that most every Congressional district in the country has a bridge or two. This would have gotten a bunch of construction workers back to work, which everyone who has looked at the issue, has the greatest multiplier effect. But, alas, bridges are still a mess, and now the government is bankrupt since we’ve wasted all of our money.
Let’s now address the health care bill. How can anyone claim that having the federal government mandate that individuals buy insurance policies from insurance companies is not stupid? I don’t know whether it’s constitutional or not, but it’s certainly foolhardy for government to require this for everyone. Now, nearly two years later, public support for this policy hovers around 35%.
So, after his first two years in office, with overwhelming majorities, the main accomplishments were two boondoggles; in the last two years, virtually nothing has been accomplished. So, that is the main reason for Obama to wage a completely negative campaign.
The second reason is that during the primary season, Romney also chose to run a substantially negative race against each of his feckless opponents. So, he rarely had to develop complex policies. Therefore, he can be painted virtually any way that Obama’s team wants. If they want to say that he flip flops, or that’s he’s a right wing lunatic, or a socialist. Most people haven’t a clue where Mitt stands.
Lucky us, those few who actually care to pay attention to American politics. We’ll be immersed in two guys throwing mud at each other from now until the middle of October. This will keep many independents from wasting their time voting. Then, miraculously, each candidate will spend a few weeks presenting their vision of the future, This will get their own targeted supporters to the polls.









May 2nd, 2012 at 10:22 am
Actually, the title of the article you link to is “Why President Obama shouldn’t run any more positive ads.” The article describes the campaign’s two previous ads, one quite positive, one less so, the third negative.
As to his accomplishments, didn’t he whack some bearded guy in Pakistan? Just sayin’.
May 2nd, 2012 at 10:34 am
Mr Obama’s decision to bow to Emperor Akihito says much of what the President’s critics should acknowledge about him. He is humble enough to defer to local custom, confident enough to know that such a gesture in no way diminishes America’s true strengths and wise enough to understand that after the Bush era the style of US foreign policy had to change as radically as its substance.”
May 2nd, 2012 at 10:34 am
Mr Obama’s decision to bow to Emperor Akihito says much of what the President’s critics should acknowledge about him. He is humble enough to defer to local custom, confident enough to know that such a gesture in no way diminishes America’s . google
May 2nd, 2012 at 11:23 am
Well, TA, I made a silly error; I actually read the article instead of just reading the title. In the article, I found the following: ‘…And, if history is any guide, the Obama campaign will dish up a steady diet of negative ads from here on out.’
As far as runnoing for re-election on the theme that ‘I killed obl, and you didn’t.’ Foreign policy rarely, other than a time of the onset of war, is critical in elections. Perhaps the only recent time when this was a factor was 1980, but I don’t know the impact of the hostage crisis on Reagan’s win.
A more analogous election to 2012 might be 1992, where bush1 won the Kuwaiti war, and then saw his popularity plummet when the 1991 recession hit.
May 2nd, 2012 at 11:49 am
I also read the article…. I just thought that Andy was a bit liberal – if you’ll pardon the expression – with his interpretation.
Totally agree that the election will be about the economy, which I think we all agree totally sucks. Do not entirely agree that voters are ready to place complete blame on Obama for this. I too am tired of the “blame Bush” routine, but in truth he inherited a total mess. If Obama can make the case that Romney’s policies will mirror those that created the mess in the first place he’ll likely win. If Romney can find a way to lay out a substantive and differentiated approach, we’ll have a horse race.
Carter’s call on the Iranian hostages proved disasterous. Obama’s call on Bin Laden could have been equally disasterous had the operation not succeeded. As it turns out, the comparisons to Carter on this matter put Obama in a very favorable light. I’ve seen lots of articles and comments from those involved – mililtary included – that they thought the operation was high risk and that he made the call even though failure would have ruined his presidency.
May 2nd, 2012 at 11:56 am
“As to his accomplishments, didn’t he whack some bearded guy in Pakistan? Just sayin’.”
I whacked a bearded pervert in the men s room once, and they’re still everywhere.
May 2nd, 2012 at 12:28 pm
Barry really has no choice but to try and make anyone else look like the worst choice.
If he pulls that off, he may well be smarter than were giving him credit for.
If anything, hes succeeded in making more people mad at each other than ever before.
Talking politics in general in public has become a totally different procedure as of a few months ago.
Walkin on egg shells
May 2nd, 2012 at 4:51 pm
The only positive that Obama can offer is that he is the only thing separating Biden from the presidency.
May 3rd, 2012 at 7:02 am
Obama has whacked many men, from what I hear.
May 3rd, 2012 at 1:35 pm
The difference between Romney and Obama running negative campaigns is that Obama ads will all be full of outrageous lies while Romney’s ads will speak undeniable truths.
To ‘google’, it should be noted that when Gen. Douglas MacArthur met with Emperor Hirohito, who had considerably more power and legitimacy than the current emperor, Dug-Out Doug did not bow, he did not even wear a neck tie, which shocked many Japanese officials at the time.
May 5th, 2012 at 9:27 pm
The Stimulus created or saved 3-4 Million jobs and ensured the recession was not even deeper. The Health Care Reform is a major step forward for healthcare in this country. Guaranteed you will see positive ads on both of these in the election, and on other topics. But Obama will highlight the negative on Romney as well, Americans needs to know the downsides of a Romney vote.
May 6th, 2012 at 1:10 pm
“The difference between Romney and Obama running negative campaigns is that Obama ads will all be full of outrageous lies while Romney’s ads will speak undeniable truths.”
I don’t expect you to be objective, I mean I can read the name of the website, but the absolutes that you speak in are amusing.
Romney = not just truths, but undeniable truths
Obama = not just lies, but outrageous lies
I can only assume you are being facetious in an attempt to provoke or to be over-the-top in a stab at humor.
May 6th, 2012 at 7:04 pm
@John M
“Created or Saved”?
I got up a little late today and just know in my heart that the reason I’m not fired is because Obama saved my job by putting my boss in such a good mood…..
DUH
May 6th, 2012 at 8:43 pm
“Obama to Run a Completely Negative Campaign”
By Arriba
Well, at first my quick snarky answer was going to be “what did you expect, what other choices does he have ?
After pondering on that for a while I decided that a totally negative campaign would be as much a success as anything else hes done.
The lies, failures,half truths, will basically be more of the same.
Hes not the problem, my 17 year old could debate him and win the presidency just on that alone.
The real problem is the millions in denial that would give this schmuck a second chance based on the logic that he just bit off a little more than any man could chew, and its all grizzle left by Bush.
The independents, if they’re human, with eyes and ears, have got to of had enough of this almost insubordinate policies and his business style reminiscent of a pin ball in play for three years scoring not one point.
The failure is so obvious. The only real threat (in this election) is ideological bigotry in full blown denial.
Tnd there seems to be an awful lot of it flying around if anything for spiteout of hate and ignorance. Such as “Occupiers” etc…